High Stress Drop and Slow Rupture During the 2020 MW6.4 Intraplate Petrinja Earthquake, Croatia

Abstract

Here we analyze the rupture process of the 29 December 2020 M_W6.4 Petrinja earthquake (Croatia), the largest event instrumentally recorded in this area characterized by a moderate strain-rate intraplate setting. We use foreshocks and aftershocks, recorded at more than 80 broadband stations located 70–420 km from the earthquake, as empirical Green's functions (EGFs) to separate source effects from propagation and local site effects. First, we deconvolve the mainshock P-wave time windows from the EGFs in the frequency domain to obtain the corner frequency (f_c). Spectral analysis based on the Brune's source model reveals a large stress drop of 24 MPa. Next, by deconvolving the Love waves in the time domain, we calculate the Apparent Source Time Functions (ASTFs). We find that the average duration of the source is ∼5 s, with no significant directivity effects, indicating a bilateral rupture. To extract physical rupture parameters such as rupture velocity, slip distribution and rise time, we deploy two techniques: (a) Bayesian inversion and (b) backprojection onto isochrones of ASTFs. Both techniques show a low rupture velocity (40%–50% of the shear wave velocity) and a rupture length of less than 10 km, that is, much less than would typically be expected for a magnitude 6.4 earthquake. This apparent anticorrelation between stress drop and rupture velocity may be attributed to the complex and segmented fault system characteristic of immature intraplate settings.