Improving generalizability of developmental research through increased use of homogeneous convenience samples: A Monte Carlo simulation.

IF 3.1 2区 心理学 Q2 PSYCHOLOGY, DEVELOPMENTAL
Justin Jager, Yan Xia, Diane L Putnick, Marc H Bornstein
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Abstract

Due to its heavy reliance on convenience samples (CSs), developmental science has a generalizability problem that clouds its broader applicability and frustrates replicability. The surest solution to this problem is to make better use, where feasible, of probability samples, which afford clear generalizability. Because CSs that are homogeneous on one or more sociodemographic factor may afford a clearer generalizability than heterogeneous CSs, the use of homogeneous CSs instead of heterogeneous CSs may also help mitigate this generalizability problem. In this article, we argue why homogeneous CSs afford clearer generalizability, and we formally test this argument via Monte Carlo simulations. For illustration, our simulations focused on sampling bias in the sociodemographic factors of ethnicity and socioeconomic status and on the outcome of adolescent academic achievement. Monte Carlo simulations indicated that homogeneous CSs (particularly those homogeneous on multiple sociodemographic factors) reliably produce estimates that are appreciably less biased than heterogeneous CSs. Sensitivity analyses indicated that these reductions in estimate bias generalize to estimates of means and estimates of association (e.g., correlations) although reductions in estimate bias were more muted for associations. The increased employment of homogeneous CSs (particularly those homogeneous on multiple sociodemographic factors) instead of heterogeneous CSs would appreciably improve the generalizability of developmental research. Broader implications for replicability and the study of minoritized populations, considerations for application, and suggestions for sampling best practices are discussed. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).

通过增加使用同质方便样本来提高发展研究的普遍性:蒙特卡罗模拟。
由于对便利样本的严重依赖,发展科学存在一个普遍性问题,使其更广泛的适用性和可重复性受到阻碍。这个问题最可靠的解决方案是,在可行的情况下,更好地利用概率样本,因为它具有明显的通用性。由于在一个或多个社会人口因素上同质的CSs可能比异质CSs提供更清晰的概括性,因此使用同质CSs而不是异质CSs也可能有助于减轻这种概括性问题。在本文中,我们讨论了为什么同构CSs提供了更清晰的泛化性,并通过蒙特卡罗模拟正式测试了这一论点。举例来说,我们的模拟侧重于种族和社会经济地位等社会人口因素的抽样偏差,以及青少年学业成就的结果。蒙特卡罗模拟表明,同质CSs(特别是那些在多个社会人口因素上同质的CSs)可靠地产生了比异质CSs明显更少偏差的估计。敏感性分析表明,这些估计偏倚的减少可以推广到均值估计和关联估计(例如相关性),尽管对关联的估计偏倚的减少更为微弱。增加使用同质CSs(特别是那些在多种社会人口因素上同质的CSs)而不是异质CSs,将显著提高发展研究的普遍性。讨论了对可复制性和少数群体研究的更广泛影响,应用的考虑因素以及抽样最佳实践的建议。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA,版权所有)。
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来源期刊
Developmental Psychology
Developmental Psychology PSYCHOLOGY, DEVELOPMENTAL-
CiteScore
5.80
自引率
2.50%
发文量
329
期刊介绍: Developmental Psychology ® publishes articles that significantly advance knowledge and theory about development across the life span. The journal focuses on seminal empirical contributions. The journal occasionally publishes exceptionally strong scholarly reviews and theoretical or methodological articles. Studies of any aspect of psychological development are appropriate, as are studies of the biological, social, and cultural factors that affect development. The journal welcomes not only laboratory-based experimental studies but studies employing other rigorous methodologies, such as ethnographies, field research, and secondary analyses of large data sets. We especially seek submissions in new areas of inquiry and submissions that will address contradictory findings or controversies in the field as well as the generalizability of extant findings in new populations. Although most articles in this journal address human development, studies of other species are appropriate if they have important implications for human development. Submissions can consist of single manuscripts, proposed sections, or short reports.
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