Justin Jager, Yan Xia, Diane L Putnick, Marc H Bornstein
{"title":"Improving generalizability of developmental research through increased use of homogeneous convenience samples: A Monte Carlo simulation.","authors":"Justin Jager, Yan Xia, Diane L Putnick, Marc H Bornstein","doi":"10.1037/dev0001890","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Due to its heavy reliance on convenience samples (CSs), developmental science has a generalizability problem that clouds its broader applicability and frustrates replicability. The surest solution to this problem is to make better use, where feasible, of probability samples, which afford clear generalizability. Because CSs that are homogeneous on one or more sociodemographic factor may afford a clearer generalizability than heterogeneous CSs, the use of homogeneous CSs instead of heterogeneous CSs may also help mitigate this generalizability problem. In this article, we argue why homogeneous CSs afford clearer generalizability, and we formally test this argument via Monte Carlo simulations. For illustration, our simulations focused on sampling bias in the sociodemographic factors of ethnicity and socioeconomic status and on the outcome of adolescent academic achievement. Monte Carlo simulations indicated that homogeneous CSs (particularly those homogeneous on multiple sociodemographic factors) reliably produce estimates that are appreciably less biased than heterogeneous CSs. Sensitivity analyses indicated that these reductions in estimate bias generalize to estimates of means and estimates of association (e.g., correlations) although reductions in estimate bias were more muted for associations. The increased employment of homogeneous CSs (particularly those homogeneous on multiple sociodemographic factors) instead of heterogeneous CSs would appreciably improve the generalizability of developmental research. Broader implications for replicability and the study of minoritized populations, considerations for application, and suggestions for sampling best practices are discussed. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).</p>","PeriodicalId":48464,"journal":{"name":"Developmental Psychology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1000,"publicationDate":"2025-01-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Developmental Psychology","FirstCategoryId":"102","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1037/dev0001890","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"PSYCHOLOGY, DEVELOPMENTAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Due to its heavy reliance on convenience samples (CSs), developmental science has a generalizability problem that clouds its broader applicability and frustrates replicability. The surest solution to this problem is to make better use, where feasible, of probability samples, which afford clear generalizability. Because CSs that are homogeneous on one or more sociodemographic factor may afford a clearer generalizability than heterogeneous CSs, the use of homogeneous CSs instead of heterogeneous CSs may also help mitigate this generalizability problem. In this article, we argue why homogeneous CSs afford clearer generalizability, and we formally test this argument via Monte Carlo simulations. For illustration, our simulations focused on sampling bias in the sociodemographic factors of ethnicity and socioeconomic status and on the outcome of adolescent academic achievement. Monte Carlo simulations indicated that homogeneous CSs (particularly those homogeneous on multiple sociodemographic factors) reliably produce estimates that are appreciably less biased than heterogeneous CSs. Sensitivity analyses indicated that these reductions in estimate bias generalize to estimates of means and estimates of association (e.g., correlations) although reductions in estimate bias were more muted for associations. The increased employment of homogeneous CSs (particularly those homogeneous on multiple sociodemographic factors) instead of heterogeneous CSs would appreciably improve the generalizability of developmental research. Broader implications for replicability and the study of minoritized populations, considerations for application, and suggestions for sampling best practices are discussed. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).
期刊介绍:
Developmental Psychology ® publishes articles that significantly advance knowledge and theory about development across the life span. The journal focuses on seminal empirical contributions. The journal occasionally publishes exceptionally strong scholarly reviews and theoretical or methodological articles. Studies of any aspect of psychological development are appropriate, as are studies of the biological, social, and cultural factors that affect development. The journal welcomes not only laboratory-based experimental studies but studies employing other rigorous methodologies, such as ethnographies, field research, and secondary analyses of large data sets. We especially seek submissions in new areas of inquiry and submissions that will address contradictory findings or controversies in the field as well as the generalizability of extant findings in new populations. Although most articles in this journal address human development, studies of other species are appropriate if they have important implications for human development. Submissions can consist of single manuscripts, proposed sections, or short reports.