{"title":"Impact of supply chain pressures on financial leverage","authors":"William Ginn, Jamel Saadaoui","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103883","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This study investigates the impact of supply shocks on financial leverage (debt-equity ratio) in the U.S. economy from 1998:Q1 to 2024:Q2. The study employs a linear and non-linear Local Projections (LP) and Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) models to explore dynamic relationships. While the LP models reveal that a supply chain shock negatively affects leverage with statistically significant results, there is no evidence of state dependence. The BVAR model suggest that a supply chain shock is disruptive via reduction (an increase) in output (inflation), accompanied by lower leverage.","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":"37 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.5000,"publicationDate":"2024-12-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Review of Financial Analysis","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103883","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This study investigates the impact of supply shocks on financial leverage (debt-equity ratio) in the U.S. economy from 1998:Q1 to 2024:Q2. The study employs a linear and non-linear Local Projections (LP) and Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) models to explore dynamic relationships. While the LP models reveal that a supply chain shock negatively affects leverage with statistically significant results, there is no evidence of state dependence. The BVAR model suggest that a supply chain shock is disruptive via reduction (an increase) in output (inflation), accompanied by lower leverage.
期刊介绍:
The International Review of Financial Analysis (IRFA) is an impartial refereed journal designed to serve as a platform for high-quality financial research. It welcomes a diverse range of financial research topics and maintains an unbiased selection process. While not limited to U.S.-centric subjects, IRFA, as its title suggests, is open to valuable research contributions from around the world.