Demystifying the art of isotope-enabled hydrological and climate modelling.

IF 8 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Science of the Total Environment Pub Date : 2025-01-10 Epub Date: 2025-01-02 DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.178242

Christian Birkel, Jodie Miller, Andrew Watson, Duc Anh Trinh, Ana Maria Durán-Quesada, Ricardo Sánchez-Murillo, Chris Soulsby, Stefan Terzer-Wassmuth, Dörthe Tetzlaff, Stefan Uhlenbrook, Yuliya Vystavna, Kei Yoshimura

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Over the last 20 years, we have dramatically improved hydrometeorological data including isotopes, but are we making the most of this data? Stable isotopes of oxygen and hydrogen in the water molecule (stable water isotopes - SWI) are well known tracers of the global hydrological cycle producing critical climate science. Despite this, stable water isotopes are not explicitly included in influential climate reports (e.g. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC) except for paleoclimate reconstructions. Continuous developments in modelling approaches have now made isotope-enabled modelling of climate and hydrology more powerful and easier to perform, reducing prediction uncertainty and providing more robust simulations. We argue that it is time to incorporate stable water isotopes and isotope-enabled modelling into mainstream hydroclimatic forecasting with the prospect of vastly improving climate change predictions and evidence.

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揭开同位素水文和气候模型的神秘面纱。

在过去的20年里，我们极大地改进了包括同位素在内的水文气象数据，但我们是否充分利用了这些数据？水分子中氧和氢的稳定同位素（稳定水同位素- SWI）是众所周知的全球水文循环示踪剂，对气候科学至关重要。尽管如此，除了古气候重建外，稳定的水同位素并未明确包括在有影响力的气候报告（例如政府间气候变化专门委员会，IPCC）中。建模方法的不断发展，现在使同位素支持的气候和水文建模更强大，更容易执行，减少了预测的不确定性，并提供了更可靠的模拟。我们认为，现在是时候将稳定的水同位素和同位素建模纳入主流水文气候预测，以期大大改善气候变化的预测和证据。

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来源期刊

Science of the Total Environment 环境科学-环境科学

CiteScore

17.60

自引率

10.20%

发文量

8726

审稿时长

2.4 months

期刊介绍： The Science of the Total Environment is an international journal dedicated to scientific research on the environment and its interaction with humanity. It covers a wide range of disciplines and seeks to publish innovative, hypothesis-driven, and impactful research that explores the entire environment, including the atmosphere, lithosphere, hydrosphere, biosphere, and anthroposphere. The journal's updated Aims & Scope emphasizes the importance of interdisciplinary environmental research with broad impact. Priority is given to studies that advance fundamental understanding and explore the interconnectedness of multiple environmental spheres. Field studies are preferred, while laboratory experiments must demonstrate significant methodological advancements or mechanistic insights with direct relevance to the environment.