World-making for a future with sentient AI

IF 3.2 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, SOCIAL
Janet V.T. Pauketat, Ali Ladak, Jacy Reese Anthis
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Abstract

The ways people imagine possible futures with artificial intelligence (AI) affects future world-making—how the future is produced through cultural propagation, design, engineering, policy, and social interaction—yet there has been little empirical study of everyday people's expectations for AI futures. We addressed this by analysing two waves (2021 and 2023) of USA nationally representative data from the Artificial Intelligence, Morality, and Sentience (AIMS) survey on the public's forecasts about an imagined future world with widespread AI sentience (total N = 2401). Average responses to six forecasts (exploiting AI labour, treating AI cruelly, using AI research subjects, AI welfare, AI rights advocacy, AI unhappiness reduction) showed mixed expectations for humanity's future with AI. Regressions of these forecasts on demographics such as age, the year the data was collected, individual psychological differences (the tendency to anthropomorphise, mind perception, techno-animist beliefs), and attitudes towards current AI (perceived threat and policy support) found significant effects on all forecasts from mind perception, anthropomorphism, and political orientation, and on five forecasts from techno-animism. The realized future that comes to pass will depend on these dynamic social psychological factors, consequent changes in expectations, and how those expectations shape acts of world-making.

为拥有智能人工智能的未来创造世界。
人们想象人工智能(AI)可能的未来的方式影响着未来世界的构建——未来是如何通过文化传播、设计、工程、政策和社会互动产生的——然而,关于日常人们对人工智能未来的期望的实证研究却很少。我们通过分析来自人工智能、道德和感知(AIMS)调查的两波(2021年和2023年)美国全国代表性数据来解决这个问题,这些数据是关于公众对具有广泛人工智能感知的想象中的未来世界的预测(总N = 2401)。对六项预测(剥削人工智能劳动力、残酷对待人工智能、使用人工智能研究对象、人工智能福利、人工智能权利倡导、人工智能不快乐减少)的平均反应显示,人们对人工智能对人类未来的期望不一。对年龄、数据收集年份、个人心理差异(拟人化倾向、心灵感知、技术万物有灵论信仰)和对当前人工智能的态度(感知到的威胁和政策支持)等因素进行回归分析发现,对心灵感知、拟人化和政治取向的所有预测以及技术万物有灵论的五种预测都有显著影响。即将实现的未来将取决于这些动态的社会心理因素,随之而来的期望变化,以及这些期望如何塑造创造世界的行为。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
9.50
自引率
7.40%
发文量
85
期刊介绍: The British Journal of Social Psychology publishes work from scholars based in all parts of the world, and manuscripts that present data on a wide range of populations inside and outside the UK. It publishes original papers in all areas of social psychology including: • social cognition • attitudes • group processes • social influence • intergroup relations • self and identity • nonverbal communication • social psychological aspects of personality, affect and emotion • language and discourse Submissions addressing these topics from a variety of approaches and methods, both quantitative and qualitative are welcomed. We publish papers of the following kinds: • empirical papers that address theoretical issues; • theoretical papers, including analyses of existing social psychological theories and presentations of theoretical innovations, extensions, or integrations; • review papers that provide an evaluation of work within a given area of social psychology and that present proposals for further research in that area; • methodological papers concerning issues that are particularly relevant to a wide range of social psychologists; • an invited agenda article as the first article in the first part of every volume. The editorial team aims to handle papers as efficiently as possible. In 2016, papers were triaged within less than a week, and the average turnaround time from receipt of the manuscript to first decision sent back to the authors was 47 days.
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