{"title":"Trends in the incidence and burden of otitis media in children: a global analysis from 1990 to 2021.","authors":"Lingkang Dong, Yuchen Jin, Wenqi Dong, Yumeng Jiang, Zhuangzhuang Li, Kaiming Su, Dongzhen Yu","doi":"10.1007/s00405-024-09165-z","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Otitis media (OM) is a prevalent and serious condition in childhood, but comprehensive global studies assessing its burden are lacking.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Using data from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study, we analyzed OM incidence cases and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in children aged 0-14 from 1990 to 2021. Trends were analyzed across regions, age groups, sexes, and socio-demographic index (SDI) using estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC). Predictive models were used to forecast trends to 2050.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The global number of OM incidence cases in children increased from 256 million in 1990 to 297 million in 2021, a 15.97% rise. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) showed a slight increase (EAPC: 0.12). Despite some variations across age, sex, and regions, the age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR) declined. ASIR and ASDR were highest in children aged < 1 year and gradually decreased with age. The largest burden was observed in low- and middle-low-SDI regions, although these regions showed the greatest declines in EAPC. Correlation analysis indicated that ASDR decreases as the SDI increases. By 2050, the number of global OM incidence cases in children is projected to reach 334 million, with most of the increase concentrated in low-SDI regions, while ASIR is expected to remain stable.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Although progress has been made in controlling OM in children over the past 30 years, the ASIR remains high. The sustained high burden and incidence of OM in low-SDI regions, and among young children, pose a significant challenge to children's health.</p>","PeriodicalId":11952,"journal":{"name":"European Archives of Oto-Rhino-Laryngology","volume":" ","pages":"2959-2970"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9000,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12122604/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"European Archives of Oto-Rhino-Laryngology","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00405-024-09165-z","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2024/12/24 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"OTORHINOLARYNGOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background: Otitis media (OM) is a prevalent and serious condition in childhood, but comprehensive global studies assessing its burden are lacking.
Methods: Using data from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study, we analyzed OM incidence cases and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in children aged 0-14 from 1990 to 2021. Trends were analyzed across regions, age groups, sexes, and socio-demographic index (SDI) using estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC). Predictive models were used to forecast trends to 2050.
Results: The global number of OM incidence cases in children increased from 256 million in 1990 to 297 million in 2021, a 15.97% rise. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) showed a slight increase (EAPC: 0.12). Despite some variations across age, sex, and regions, the age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR) declined. ASIR and ASDR were highest in children aged < 1 year and gradually decreased with age. The largest burden was observed in low- and middle-low-SDI regions, although these regions showed the greatest declines in EAPC. Correlation analysis indicated that ASDR decreases as the SDI increases. By 2050, the number of global OM incidence cases in children is projected to reach 334 million, with most of the increase concentrated in low-SDI regions, while ASIR is expected to remain stable.
Conclusion: Although progress has been made in controlling OM in children over the past 30 years, the ASIR remains high. The sustained high burden and incidence of OM in low-SDI regions, and among young children, pose a significant challenge to children's health.
期刊介绍：
Official Journal of
European Union of Medical Specialists – ORL Section and Board
Official Journal of Confederation of European Oto-Rhino-Laryngology Head and Neck Surgery
"European Archives of Oto-Rhino-Laryngology" publishes original clinical reports and clinically relevant experimental studies, as well as short communications presenting new results of special interest. With peer review by a respected international editorial board and prompt English-language publication, the journal provides rapid dissemination of information by authors from around the world. This particular feature makes it the journal of choice for readers who want to be informed about the continuing state of the art concerning basic sciences and the diagnosis and management of diseases of the head and neck on an international level.
European Archives of Oto-Rhino-Laryngology was founded in 1864 as "Archiv für Ohrenheilkunde" by A. von Tröltsch, A. Politzer and H. Schwartze.
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