The future of agricultural lands under the combined influence of shared socioeconomic pathways and urban expansion by 2050

IF 6.1 1区农林科学 Q1 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Agricultural Systems Pub Date : 2024-12-20 DOI:10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104234

Ali Sadian, Hossein Shafizadeh-Moghadam

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Food security is increasingly at risk due to rising demand, unprecedented population growth, and challenges such as climate change and urbanization. Consequently, modeling the combined effects of climate change and land conversion on agricultural lands is of strategic importance.

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到2050年共享社会经济路径和城市扩张共同影响下的农业用地未来

由于不断增长的需求、前所未有的人口增长以及气候变化和城市化等挑战，粮食安全面临越来越大的风险。因此，模拟气候变化和土地非农化对农业用地的综合影响具有重要的战略意义。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Agricultural Systems 农林科学-农业综合

CiteScore

13.30

自引率

7.60%

发文量

174

审稿时长

30 days

期刊介绍： Agricultural Systems is an international journal that deals with interactions - among the components of agricultural systems, among hierarchical levels of agricultural systems, between agricultural and other land use systems, and between agricultural systems and their natural, social and economic environments. The scope includes the development and application of systems analysis methodologies in the following areas: Systems approaches in the sustainable intensification of agriculture; pathways for sustainable intensification; crop-livestock integration; farm-level resource allocation; quantification of benefits and trade-offs at farm to landscape levels; integrative, participatory and dynamic modelling approaches for qualitative and quantitative assessments of agricultural systems and decision making; The interactions between agricultural and non-agricultural landscapes; the multiple services of agricultural systems; food security and the environment; Global change and adaptation science; transformational adaptations as driven by changes in climate, policy, values and attitudes influencing the design of farming systems; Development and application of farming systems design tools and methods for impact, scenario and case study analysis; managing the complexities of dynamic agricultural systems; innovation systems and multi stakeholder arrangements that support or promote change and (or) inform policy decisions.