A Painful Reality Check? Examining the Accuracy of Subjective Survival Probabilities by Pain Interference and Depression Status.

IF 2.2 3区医学 Q2 GERONTOLOGY

Journal of Aging and Health Pub Date : 2024-12-19 DOI:10.1177/08982643241307454

Gillian Fennell, Theresa Andrasfay, Hanna Grol-Prokopczyk, Jennifer Ailshire

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Purpose: Pain and depression are linked to higher mortality risk and lower subjective survival probabilities (SSPs). We examine if SSPs for individuals with pain and depression match their actual lifespans.

Methods: Using data on 12,745 Health and Retirement Study respondents aged 57-89 in 2000 with follow-up through 2018, we assessed whether respondents' SSPs were "correct," "underestimated," or "overestimated" relative to their lifespans. Adjusted multinomial logistic regressions predicted SSP accuracy based on pain interference, depression, and their interaction.

Results: Severe or interfering pain (i.e., high impact pain) was associated with a 25% higher risk of underestimating SSPs (RRR = 1.25, p = .04), and depression increased the risk by 49% (RRR = 1.49, p < .001). High impact pain and depression also corresponded with lower average SSPs and higher mortality risk.

Conclusion: High impact pain and depression increase the risk of underestimating longevity. Future research should explore the impact on health and financial decisions in older adults.

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来源期刊

Journal of Aging and Health Multiple-

CiteScore

5.60

自引率

3.60%

发文量

113

期刊介绍： The Journal of Aging and Health is an interdisciplinary forum for the presentation of research findings and scholarly exchange in the area of aging and health. Manuscripts are sought that deal with social and behavioral factors related to health and aging. Disciplines represented include the behavioral and social sciences, public health, epidemiology, demography, health services research, nursing, social work, medicine, and related disciplines. Although preference is given to manuscripts presenting the findings of original research, review and methodological pieces will also be considered.