Effect of seasonal malaria chemoprevention on incidence of malaria among children under five years in Kotido and Moroto Districts, Uganda, 2021: time series analysis.
Andrew Kwiringira, Benon Kwesiga, Richard Migisha, Lilian Bulage, Daniel Kadobera, Damian Rutazaana, Julie R Harris, Alex R Ario, Julius Ssempiira
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background: Seasonal malaria chemoprevention (SMC) refers to monthly administration of full treatment courses of anti-malarial medicine to children <5 years during high malaria transmission seasons. SMC has demonstrated effectiveness in Sahel and sub-Sahel countries in Africa. However, it was not implemented in Uganda until April 2021, when the country began SMC in the highly malaria-endemic Kotido and Moroto Districts. This study assessed the effect of SMC on malaria incidence among children <5 years of age in Kotido and Moroto Districts.
Methods: An interrupted time-series analysis was conducted using monthly national health data from the Uganda Ministry of Health District Health Information System 2. The monthly data for outpatient (uncomplicated) malaria among children <5 years was extracted for the 52 months before SMC implementation (Jan 2017-Apr 2021) and 8 months during SMC implementation (May-Dec 2021). The monthly incidence of uncomplicated malaria per 1000 children <5 years was computed before and during SMC implementation.
Results: In Kotido District, malaria incidence was 693/1000 during SMC implementation period, compared to an expected 1216/1000 if SMC had not been implemented. The mean monthly malaria incidence was 87/1000, compared to an expected mean of 152/1000 if SMC had not been implemented. This represents a statistically significant mean monthly change of -65.4 (95% CI = -104.6, -26.2) malaria cases/1000 during SMC implementation, or a 43.0% decline. In Moroto District, malaria incidence was 713/1000 during SMC implementation period, compared to an expected 905/1000 if SMC had not been implemented. The mean monthly malaria incidence was 89/1000, compared to an expected 113/1000 if SMC had not been deployed. This represents a statistically significant mean monthly change of -24.0 (95% CI = -41.1, -6.8) malaria cases/1000 during SMC implementation, or a 21.2% decline.
Conclusion: Implementation of SMC substantially reduced the incidence of uncomplicated malaria among children <5 years in Moroto and Kotido Districts. Scaling up SMC in other districts with high malaria transmission could reduce malaria on a large scale across Uganda.
期刊介绍:
Malaria Journal is aimed at the scientific community interested in malaria in its broadest sense. It is the only journal that publishes exclusively articles on malaria and, as such, it aims to bring together knowledge from the different specialities involved in this very broad discipline, from the bench to the bedside and to the field.