The Long-Term Impacts of Cigarette Taxes on Smoking.

IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
American Journal of Health Economics Pub Date : 2024-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-10-01 DOI:10.1086/726584
Julia M Dennett
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This paper investigates the effects of cigarette tax changes at different ages on long-term smoking behaviors. Using survey data on six decades of birth cohorts and a generalized difference-in-differences study design, I show that an increase in the cigarette tax at any age diminishes the long-term probabilities of smoking initiation and participation and reduces smoking intensity amongst people who currently smoke. These findings suggest that cigarette taxes prevent adults from beginning to smoke and cause people who smoke to promptly smoke less and quit over time. My estimates suggest that an average state tax hike applied to the national population would have caused over 400,000 people to quit smoking and prevented 4,000 deaths from smoking-related causes.

香烟税对吸烟的长期影响。
本文研究了不同年龄段卷烟税的变化对长期吸烟行为的影响。通过使用六十年出生队列的调查数据和广义差分研究设计,我发现在任何年龄段提高卷烟税都会降低开始吸烟和参与吸烟的长期概率,并降低目前吸烟人群的吸烟强度。这些研究结果表明,香烟税能阻止成年人开始吸烟,并使吸烟者及时减少吸烟量并逐渐戒烟。我的估算表明,对全国人口平均征收一次州税,将使 40 多万人戒烟,并防止 4000 人死于与吸烟有关的原因。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.30
自引率
2.70%
发文量
34
期刊介绍: The American Journal of Health Economics (AJHE) provides a forum for the in-depth analysis of health care markets and individual health behaviors. The articles appearing in AJHE are authored by scholars from universities, private research organizations, government, and industry. Subjects of interest include competition among private insurers, hospitals, and physicians; impacts of public insurance programs, including the Affordable Care Act; pharmaceutical innovation and regulation; medical device supply; the rise of obesity and its consequences; the influence and growth of aging populations; and much more.
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