{"title":"Effects of inflation and macroprudential policies on bank risk: Evidence from emerging economies","authors":"Xueming Qin, Gangdong Peng, Mengxiang Zhao","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103841","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This study explores the relationship between macroprudential policies, inflation, and bank risk in emerging economies. Several significant findings emerge based on panel data from approximately 1400 commercial banks across 32 emerging economies over the period 2000–2018. Firstly, a positive correlation is observed between inflation rates and bank risk, suggesting that inflation increases financial instability. Contrary to their intended purpose, stringent macroprudential policies actually intensify bank risk during periods of high inflation rather than stabilizing economies. Secondly, the analysis indicates that macroprudential tools designed to moderate credit cycles significantly enhance the risk banks face from inflation. Varied impacts are observed among different macroprudential instruments: capital-related, reserve requirement, and foreign exchange-related tools counterproductively heighten bank risk during periods of high inflation. Conversely, asset-based and liquidity-focused tools effectively reduce bank risk under similar inflationary conditions.","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":"50 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.5000,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Review of Financial Analysis","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103841","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This study explores the relationship between macroprudential policies, inflation, and bank risk in emerging economies. Several significant findings emerge based on panel data from approximately 1400 commercial banks across 32 emerging economies over the period 2000–2018. Firstly, a positive correlation is observed between inflation rates and bank risk, suggesting that inflation increases financial instability. Contrary to their intended purpose, stringent macroprudential policies actually intensify bank risk during periods of high inflation rather than stabilizing economies. Secondly, the analysis indicates that macroprudential tools designed to moderate credit cycles significantly enhance the risk banks face from inflation. Varied impacts are observed among different macroprudential instruments: capital-related, reserve requirement, and foreign exchange-related tools counterproductively heighten bank risk during periods of high inflation. Conversely, asset-based and liquidity-focused tools effectively reduce bank risk under similar inflationary conditions.
期刊介绍:
The International Review of Financial Analysis (IRFA) is an impartial refereed journal designed to serve as a platform for high-quality financial research. It welcomes a diverse range of financial research topics and maintains an unbiased selection process. While not limited to U.S.-centric subjects, IRFA, as its title suggests, is open to valuable research contributions from around the world.