{"title":"Ultrasound-based radiomics to predict the volume reduction rate of benign thyroid nodules after microwave ablation.","authors":"Fang Chen, Yuxiu Gao, Qingwen Xue, Xiaoyan Niu, Xiaojuan Zhang, Yichen Zang, Hui Zhang, Shuao Li, Cheng Zhao","doi":"10.1007/s12020-024-04125-3","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To evaluate the predictive power of ultrasound-based radiomics models for benign thyroid nodules with a volume reduction rate (VRR) of < or ≥75% at 12 months after microwave ablation.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A retrospective study was conducted on 194 individuals with benign thyroid nodules who received ultrasound-guided microwave ablation between November 2019 and June 2023. The clinical and ultrasound features, including age, gender, volume, echogenicity, duration of ablation, and so on were analysed by t-test or chi-square test. Radiomics features were extracted from longitudinal and transverse ultrasound images of the nodules. The features were selected using methods such as least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). Radiomics models were established using longitudinal, transverse, and longitudinal + transverse ultrasound images to predict the VRR of benign thyroid nodules after ablation. Decision curve analysis (DCA) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were used to assess the models' performance.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>At 12 months following ablation, the VRR of the nodules was 77.8 ± 19.4% (7.4-98.8%). Statistical analysis revealed that the duration of ablation and the proportion of liquid extracted were significantly correlated with the 12-month VRR (P <0.05). In the radiomics models, Logistic Regression (LR) performed the best. In the training cohorts, the area under the curve (AUC) for the longitudinal, transverse, and combined groups were 0.935, 0.800, and 0.937. The AUC values in the test cohort were 0.820, 0.844, and 0.917.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The radiomics models established based on pre-ablation ultrasound images showed good predictive efficacy for the VRR of nodules at 12 months following ablation. The predictive efficacy is best in the combined group. With the models, we can preoperatively predict patients' prognoses and thereby determine whether to proceed with ablation therapy.</p>","PeriodicalId":49211,"journal":{"name":"Endocrine","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-12-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Endocrine","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12020-024-04125-3","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Objective: To evaluate the predictive power of ultrasound-based radiomics models for benign thyroid nodules with a volume reduction rate (VRR) of < or ≥75% at 12 months after microwave ablation.
Methods: A retrospective study was conducted on 194 individuals with benign thyroid nodules who received ultrasound-guided microwave ablation between November 2019 and June 2023. The clinical and ultrasound features, including age, gender, volume, echogenicity, duration of ablation, and so on were analysed by t-test or chi-square test. Radiomics features were extracted from longitudinal and transverse ultrasound images of the nodules. The features were selected using methods such as least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). Radiomics models were established using longitudinal, transverse, and longitudinal + transverse ultrasound images to predict the VRR of benign thyroid nodules after ablation. Decision curve analysis (DCA) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were used to assess the models' performance.
Results: At 12 months following ablation, the VRR of the nodules was 77.8 ± 19.4% (7.4-98.8%). Statistical analysis revealed that the duration of ablation and the proportion of liquid extracted were significantly correlated with the 12-month VRR (P <0.05). In the radiomics models, Logistic Regression (LR) performed the best. In the training cohorts, the area under the curve (AUC) for the longitudinal, transverse, and combined groups were 0.935, 0.800, and 0.937. The AUC values in the test cohort were 0.820, 0.844, and 0.917.
Conclusion: The radiomics models established based on pre-ablation ultrasound images showed good predictive efficacy for the VRR of nodules at 12 months following ablation. The predictive efficacy is best in the combined group. With the models, we can preoperatively predict patients' prognoses and thereby determine whether to proceed with ablation therapy.
期刊介绍:
Well-established as a major journal in today’s rapidly advancing experimental and clinical research areas, Endocrine publishes original articles devoted to basic (including molecular, cellular and physiological studies), translational and clinical research in all the different fields of endocrinology and metabolism. Articles will be accepted based on peer-reviews, priority, and editorial decision. Invited reviews, mini-reviews and viewpoints on relevant pathophysiological and clinical topics, as well as Editorials on articles appearing in the Journal, are published. Unsolicited Editorials will be evaluated by the editorial team. Outcomes of scientific meetings, as well as guidelines and position statements, may be submitted. The Journal also considers special feature articles in the field of endocrine genetics and epigenetics, as well as articles devoted to novel methods and techniques in endocrinology.
Endocrine covers controversial, clinical endocrine issues. Meta-analyses on endocrine and metabolic topics are also accepted. Descriptions of single clinical cases and/or small patients studies are not published unless of exceptional interest. However, reports of novel imaging studies and endocrine side effects in single patients may be considered. Research letters and letters to the editor related or unrelated to recently published articles can be submitted.
Endocrine covers leading topics in endocrinology such as neuroendocrinology, pituitary and hypothalamic peptides, thyroid physiological and clinical aspects, bone and mineral metabolism and osteoporosis, obesity, lipid and energy metabolism and food intake control, insulin, Type 1 and Type 2 diabetes, hormones of male and female reproduction, adrenal diseases pediatric and geriatric endocrinology, endocrine hypertension and endocrine oncology.