The predictive ability of Controlling Nutritional Status score on in-hospital mortality in patients admitted to coronary care unit.

Serdar Gökhan Nurkoç, Şeyhmus Atan, Mehmet Koray Adalı, Mevlüt Demir, Yunus Emre Yavuz, Burak Açar, Meltem Altınsoy, İbrahim Halil Tanboğa, Fatih Kahraman
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Abstract

Objective: Controlling Nutritional Status score was previously described and has been used in predicting short- and long-term outcomes in different patient populations. The aim of this study was to test the relationship between Controlling Nutritional Status score and in-hospital mortality in coronary care unit patients (MORCOR-TURK population).

Methods: In this multicenter and national study, all patients with an available Controlling Nutritional Status score were included in the analysis. The Controlling Nutritional Status score was calculated according to previously described criteria. To be able to understand the significance of the Controlling Nutritional Status score, we constructed two models. Model 1 included age, heart failure, chronic kidney disease, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and coronary artery disease history. Model 2 included the Controlling Nutritional Status score and Model 1. We then statistically compared the performances of the two models.

Results: A total of 1,018 patients with known Controlling Nutritional Status scores were included in the analysis. Demographic characteristics are shown. In Model 1, the -2 log-likelihood ratio was 395.995, Nagelkerke R2 was 0.133, and area under the curve was 0.739 (95%CI 0.67-0.81). In the second model to which the Controlling Nutritional Status score is added (Model 2), the -2 log-likelihood ratio was 373.743, Nagelkerke R2 was 0.191, and area under the curve was 0.787 (95%CI 0.72-0.85). The area under the curve value of Model 2 was statistically higher than Model 1 (DeLong p-value: 0.01). A statistically significant correlation was found between death and Controlling Nutritional Status score in Model 2 [OR 1.347 (1.193-1.521), p<0.001].

Conclusions: Our study showed that the Controlling Nutritional Status score may be a significant predictor of in-hospital mortality in coronary care unit patients.

控制营养状况评分对冠心病患者住院死亡率的预测能力。
目的:控制营养状态评分以前被描述过,并被用于预测不同患者群体的短期和长期结果。本研究的目的是检验控制营养状况评分与冠状动脉监护室患者(MORCOR-TURK人群)住院死亡率之间的关系。方法:在这项多中心和全国性的研究中,所有具有控制营养状态评分的患者都被纳入分析。控制营养状态评分是根据先前描述的标准计算的。为了能够理解控制营养状态评分的意义,我们构建了两个模型。模型1包括年龄、心力衰竭、慢性肾脏疾病、高血压、糖尿病和冠状动脉疾病史。模型2包括控制营养状态评分和模型1。然后对两种模型的性能进行统计比较。结果:共有1018名已知控制营养状态评分的患者被纳入分析。显示了人口统计学特征。在模型1中,-2对数似然比为395.995,Nagelkerke R2为0.133,曲线下面积为0.739 (95%CI 0.67-0.81)。在加入控制营养状况评分的第二个模型(模型2)中,-2对数似然比为373.743,Nagelkerke R2为0.191,曲线下面积为0.787 (95%CI为0.72 ~ 0.85)。模型2曲线值下面积显著高于模型1 (DeLong p值:0.01)。在模型2中,死亡率与控制营养状态评分之间存在统计学意义上的相关性[OR = 1.347(1.193-1.521)]。结论:我们的研究表明,控制营养状态评分可能是冠状动脉监护室患者住院死亡率的重要预测因子。
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