Cost-effectiveness and return on investment of hepatitis C virus elimination in China: A modelling study.

IF 14 1区 医学 Q1 GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY
Meiyu Wu, Jing Ma, Xuehong Wang, Sini Li, Chongqing Tan, Ouyang Xie, Andong Li, Aaron G Lim, Xiaomin Wan
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Background: The WHO set the goal of eliminating hepatitis C virus (HCV) by 2030, with 80% and 65% reductions in HCV incidence and mortality rates, respectively. We aimed to evaluate the health benefits, cost-effectiveness and return on investment (ROI) of HCV elimination.

Methods: Using an HCV transmission compartmental model, we evaluated the benefits and costs of different strategies combining screening and treatment for Chinese populations. We identified strategies to achieve HCV elimination and calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted for 2022-2030 to identify the optimal elimination strategy. Furthermore, we estimated the ROI by 2050 by comparing the required investment with the economic productivity gains from reduced HCV incidence and deaths.

Results: The strategy that results in the most significant health benefits involves conducting annual primary screening at a rate of 14%, re-screening people who inject drugs (PWID) annually and the general population every five years, and treating 95% of those diagnosed (P14-R4-T95), preventing approximately 5.75 and 0.44 million HCV infections and deaths, respectively, during 2022-2030. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of $12,615, the P14-R4-T95 strategy is the most cost-effective, with an ICER of $5,449/DALY. By 2050, this strategy would have a net benefit of $120,997 million (ROI=0.868).

Conclusions: Achieving HCV elimination in China by 2030 will require significant investment in large-scale universal screening and treatment, but it will yield substantial health and economic benefits and is cost effective.

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来源期刊
Clinical and Molecular Hepatology
Clinical and Molecular Hepatology Medicine-Hepatology
CiteScore
15.60
自引率
9.00%
发文量
89
审稿时长
10 weeks
期刊介绍: Clinical and Molecular Hepatology is an internationally recognized, peer-reviewed, open-access journal published quarterly in English. Its mission is to disseminate cutting-edge knowledge, trends, and insights into hepatobiliary diseases, fostering an inclusive academic platform for robust debate and discussion among clinical practitioners, translational researchers, and basic scientists. With a multidisciplinary approach, the journal strives to enhance public health, particularly in the resource-limited Asia-Pacific region, which faces significant challenges such as high prevalence of B viral infection and hepatocellular carcinoma. Furthermore, Clinical and Molecular Hepatology prioritizes epidemiological studies of hepatobiliary diseases across diverse regions including East Asia, North Asia, Southeast Asia, Central Asia, South Asia, Southwest Asia, Pacific, Africa, Central Europe, Eastern Europe, Central America, and South America. The journal publishes a wide range of content, including original research papers, meta-analyses, letters to the editor, case reports, reviews, guidelines, editorials, and liver images and pathology, encompassing all facets of hepatology.
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