Influence of the Southern Hemisphere Supergyre on Antarctic Intermediate Water Properties in CMIP6 Models

Abstract

The supergyre in the Southern Hemisphere is thought to connect the Atlantic, Indian, and Pacific subtropical gyres together. The aim of the study is to investigate whether the supergyre is identifiable in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models and in the Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean (ECCO) reanalysis and to evaluate the influence of the supergyre on the properties of Antarctic Intermediate Water (AAIW), the dominant water mass at intermediate depths in the Southern Hemisphere. CMIP6 models and ECCO are in agreement at the surface with supergyres connected across all basins but present some differences at depth in both position and strength. AAIW core properties (temperature and salinity) present a high degree of similarity across basins within the supergyre but not outside of it. By the end of the century, the supergyre reduces in size and intensifies at intermediate depths, and the AAIW core depth warms in all basins and freshens in the Pacific although no clear trend in salinity can be found in the Atlantic and Indian basins in the SSP5-8.5 scenario. The high degree of similarity across basins within the supergyre is maintained in the future scenario. The results suggest that by connecting the basins together at intermediate depth, the supergyre plays a key role in circulating and homogenizing the AAIW core properties. Our results emphasize the role of the supergyre in circulating water masses at the surface and intermediate depths in CMIP6 models and hence its importance to the global circulation.