Monte Carlo simulation of community microgrid operation: Business prospects in the Brazilian regulatory framework

IF 3.8 3区经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS

Utilities Policy Pub Date : 2024-11-21 DOI:10.1016/j.jup.2024.101856

Francisco C.R. Coelho , Fernando A. Assis , José Filho C. Castro , Antonio R. Donadon , Ronaldo A. Roncolatto , Vittoria E.M.S. Andrade , Pedro A.C. Rosas , Silvangela L.S.L. Barcelos , Osvaldo R. Saavedra , Rafael G. Bento , Rafael K. Carneiro , Pablo F. Hernandez , Luiz C.P. Silva

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Microgrids offer an innovative solution to modern energy challenges, providing enhanced reliability and resilience to distribution systems while accommodating the growing presence of distributed energy resources (DER). However, realizing the potential benefits of microgrids requires a comprehensive assessment of their complex technical and economic aspects. This paper introduces a dedicated techno-economic evaluation model for community microgrids (CMGs) while considering a consumer-centric internal market. Uncertainties arising from load variations and intermittent generation are addressed via Monte Carlo simulation (MCS). The proposed internal market model aligns with the Brazilian regulatory framework and enables currently unavailable innovations, such as a community internal market; however, the model can be adapted to the context of any system. We demonstrate the capabilities of the methodology by presenting a case study involving a real microgrid, where economic benefits are shared among all consumers. This study, derived from a research and development (R&D) project, underscores its practical relevance in advancing cleaner and more sustainable energy systems.

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来源期刊

Utilities Policy ENERGY & FUELS-ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

CiteScore

6.80

自引率

10.00%

发文量

审稿时长

66 days

期刊介绍： Utilities Policy is deliberately international, interdisciplinary, and intersectoral. Articles address utility trends and issues in both developed and developing economies. Authors and reviewers come from various disciplines, including economics, political science, sociology, law, finance, accounting, management, and engineering. Areas of focus include the utility and network industries providing essential electricity, natural gas, water and wastewater, solid waste, communications, broadband, postal, and public transportation services. Utilities Policy invites submissions that apply various quantitative and qualitative methods. Contributions are welcome from both established and emerging scholars as well as accomplished practitioners. Interdisciplinary, comparative, and applied works are encouraged. Submissions to the journal should have a clear focus on governance, performance, and/or analysis of public utilities with an aim toward informing the policymaking process and providing recommendations as appropriate. Relevant topics and issues include but are not limited to industry structures and ownership, market design and dynamics, economic development, resource planning, system modeling, accounting and finance, infrastructure investment, supply and demand efficiency, strategic management and productivity, network operations and integration, supply chains, adaptation and flexibility, service-quality standards, benchmarking and metrics, benefit-cost analysis, behavior and incentives, pricing and demand response, economic and environmental regulation, regulatory performance and impact, restructuring and deregulation, and policy institutions.