Mark R. Cullen MD , Xiaofeng Zhou PhD , Scott P. Kelly PhD , Caihua Liang MD, PhD , Ling Li MS , Rongjun Shen MS , Heidi K. Leister-Tebbe BSN , Steven G. Terra PharmD , Michael Gaffney PhD , Leo Russo PhD
{"title":"US Real-World Effectiveness Study of Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir in Preventing Hospitalization of High-Risk COVID-19 Patients","authors":"Mark R. Cullen MD , Xiaofeng Zhou PhD , Scott P. Kelly PhD , Caihua Liang MD, PhD , Ling Li MS , Rongjun Shen MS , Heidi K. Leister-Tebbe BSN , Steven G. Terra PharmD , Michael Gaffney PhD , Leo Russo PhD","doi":"10.1016/j.curtheres.2024.100757","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Purpose</h3><div>We describe nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (NMV/r) effectiveness in preventing hospitalization among COVID-19 patients at high risk of severe disease.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>An ongoing US population-based observational cohort study with retrospective and prospective collection of national electronic healthcare data collected from the US Optum® deidentified COVID-19 Electronic Health Record dataset during December 22, 2021−July 20, 2022. Participants were ≥12 years old; had a positive SARS-CoV-2 test, COVID-19 diagnosis, or NMV/r prescription; and were at high risk of severe COVID-19 based on demographic/clinical characteristics. Potential confounders between groups were balanced using propensity score matching. Immortal time bias was addressed. Hospitalization rates within 30 days from COVID-19 diagnosis were evaluated. Sensitivity analyses included 15-day hospitalization, chart review to investigate incidental hospitalization effects, and exclusion of patients identified as having COVID-19 based on NMV/r prescription alone. Outcomes were also evaluated by race, age, and COVID-19 vaccine status.</div></div><div><h3>Findings</h3><div>Overall, 12,440 and 234,123 patients were included in the NMV/r and non-NMV/r groups, respectively. After propensity score matching, baseline characteristics were well balanced across groups (NMV/r, <em>n</em> = 12,439; non-NMV/r, <em>n</em> = 36,490). Incidence of hospitalization (95% CI) within 30 days was 0.90% (0.74%−1.08%) for the NMV/r group and 5.91% (5.67%−6.16%) for the non-NMV/r group, with relative risk (95% CI) of 0.15 (0.13−0.18; 85% risk reduction). NMV/r was comparably effective in Black patients (relative risk, 0.19 [0.10−0.34]; 81% risk reduction). Sensitivity analyses supported the main outcomes.</div></div><div><h3>Implications</h3><div>Real-world NMV/r effectiveness against hospitalization during Omicron predominance among COVID-19 patients at high risk of severe disease supports demonstrated clinical trial efficacy. Black patients underutilized NMV/r despite high effectiveness.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":10920,"journal":{"name":"Current Therapeutic Research-clinical and Experimental","volume":"101 ","pages":"Article 100757"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6000,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Current Therapeutic Research-clinical and Experimental","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0011393X24000274","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Purpose
We describe nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (NMV/r) effectiveness in preventing hospitalization among COVID-19 patients at high risk of severe disease.
Methods
An ongoing US population-based observational cohort study with retrospective and prospective collection of national electronic healthcare data collected from the US Optum® deidentified COVID-19 Electronic Health Record dataset during December 22, 2021−July 20, 2022. Participants were ≥12 years old; had a positive SARS-CoV-2 test, COVID-19 diagnosis, or NMV/r prescription; and were at high risk of severe COVID-19 based on demographic/clinical characteristics. Potential confounders between groups were balanced using propensity score matching. Immortal time bias was addressed. Hospitalization rates within 30 days from COVID-19 diagnosis were evaluated. Sensitivity analyses included 15-day hospitalization, chart review to investigate incidental hospitalization effects, and exclusion of patients identified as having COVID-19 based on NMV/r prescription alone. Outcomes were also evaluated by race, age, and COVID-19 vaccine status.
Findings
Overall, 12,440 and 234,123 patients were included in the NMV/r and non-NMV/r groups, respectively. After propensity score matching, baseline characteristics were well balanced across groups (NMV/r, n = 12,439; non-NMV/r, n = 36,490). Incidence of hospitalization (95% CI) within 30 days was 0.90% (0.74%−1.08%) for the NMV/r group and 5.91% (5.67%−6.16%) for the non-NMV/r group, with relative risk (95% CI) of 0.15 (0.13−0.18; 85% risk reduction). NMV/r was comparably effective in Black patients (relative risk, 0.19 [0.10−0.34]; 81% risk reduction). Sensitivity analyses supported the main outcomes.
Implications
Real-world NMV/r effectiveness against hospitalization during Omicron predominance among COVID-19 patients at high risk of severe disease supports demonstrated clinical trial efficacy. Black patients underutilized NMV/r despite high effectiveness.
期刊介绍:
We also encourage the submission of manuscripts presenting preclinical and very preliminary research that may stimulate further investigation of potentially relevant findings, as well as in-depth review articles on specific therapies or disease states, and applied health delivery or pharmacoeconomics.
CTR encourages and supports the submission of manuscripts describing:
• Interventions designed to understand or improve human health, disease treatment or disease prevention;
• Studies that focus on problems that are uncommon in resource-rich countries;
• Research that is "under-published" because of limited access to monetary resources such as English language support and Open Access fees (CTR offers deeply discounted English language editing);
• Republication of articles previously published in non-English journals (eg, evidence-based guidelines) which could be useful if translated into English;
• Preclinical and clinical product development studies that are not pursued for further investigation based upon early phase results.