Between east and west, between past and future: The effects of exclusive historical victimhood on geopolitical attitudes in Hungary and Serbia.

IF 3.2 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, SOCIAL
Jovan Ivanović, Orsolya Vincze, Miloš Jevtić, Zsolt Szabó, István Csertő, Sarah Y Choi, James H Liu
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Abstract

In Eastern Europe, collective victim beliefs have become integral elements of national ideologies, especially amid rising geopolitical polarization. In this study, we investigated how exclusive victimhood was related to geopolitical attitudes in Hungary and Serbia. The study involved Serbian (N = 630) and Hungarian (N = 471) adult national samples stratified by gender, age, political orientation, and place of residence. As expected, exclusive victimhood predicted higher support for a geopolitical shift from the West (i.e., EU and US) to the East (i.e., Russia and China) via Euroscepticism in both samples. In Serbia, the strongest indirect effect was observed among participants with neutral attitudes towards the war in Ukraine. In Hungary, there was no expected moderated mediation while the direct effect of exclusive victimhood on the West-to-East geopolitical shift was largest for pro-Russian participants and non-significant for pro-Ukrainian participants. Different measures of ethnic identity showed no expected moderation effect, but an exploratory analysis revealed that exclusive victimhood partially mediated the relationship between identity measures (superiority and attachment) and support for a pro-Eastern (vs. pro-Western) geopolitical orientation. We discuss how the construals of the past based on exclusive victimhood shape future geopolitical preferences of the public in Hungary and Serbia.

东西方之间,过去与未来之间:独有的历史受害者身份对匈牙利和塞尔维亚地缘政治态度的影响。
在东欧,集体受害信念已成为国家意识形态的组成部分,尤其是在地缘政治两极分化日益加剧的情况下。在本研究中,我们调查了匈牙利和塞尔维亚的排他性受害者信念与地缘政治态度之间的关系。研究涉及塞尔维亚(630 人)和匈牙利(471 人)的成年国民样本,按性别、年龄、政治倾向和居住地进行了分层。正如预期的那样,在这两个样本中,排他性受害者身份通过欧洲怀疑论预测了对地缘政治从西方(即欧盟和美国)向东方(即俄罗斯和中国)转移的更高支持率。在塞尔维亚,对乌克兰战争持中立态度的参与者的间接效应最强。在匈牙利,地缘政治从西向东的转变没有预期的调节作用,而地缘政治从西向东的转变对亲俄参与者的直接影响最大,对亲乌参与者的直接影响不显著。不同的种族认同测量没有显示出预期的调节作用,但一项探索性分析显示,排他性受害者身份部分调节了认同测量(优越感和依恋)与支持亲东方(相对于亲西方)地缘政治取向之间的关系。我们讨论了基于排他性受害者身份对过去的解释如何影响匈牙利和塞尔维亚公众未来的地缘政治偏好。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
9.50
自引率
7.40%
发文量
85
期刊介绍: The British Journal of Social Psychology publishes work from scholars based in all parts of the world, and manuscripts that present data on a wide range of populations inside and outside the UK. It publishes original papers in all areas of social psychology including: • social cognition • attitudes • group processes • social influence • intergroup relations • self and identity • nonverbal communication • social psychological aspects of personality, affect and emotion • language and discourse Submissions addressing these topics from a variety of approaches and methods, both quantitative and qualitative are welcomed. We publish papers of the following kinds: • empirical papers that address theoretical issues; • theoretical papers, including analyses of existing social psychological theories and presentations of theoretical innovations, extensions, or integrations; • review papers that provide an evaluation of work within a given area of social psychology and that present proposals for further research in that area; • methodological papers concerning issues that are particularly relevant to a wide range of social psychologists; • an invited agenda article as the first article in the first part of every volume. The editorial team aims to handle papers as efficiently as possible. In 2016, papers were triaged within less than a week, and the average turnaround time from receipt of the manuscript to first decision sent back to the authors was 47 days.
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