Spectral CT-based nomogram for preoperative prediction of Lauren classification in locally advanced gastric cancer: a prospective study.

Abstract

Objectives: To develop a nomogram based on clinical features and spectral quantitative parameters to preoperatively predict the Lauren classification for locally advanced gastric cancer (LAGC).

Methods: Patients diagnosed with LAGC by postoperative pathology who underwent abdominal triple-phase enhanced spectral computed tomography (CT) were prospectively enrolled in this study between June 2023 and December 2023. All the patients were categorized into intestinal- and diffuse-type groups according to the Lauren classification. Traditional characteristics, including demographic information, serum tumor markers, gastroscopic pathology, and image semantic features, were collected. Spectral quantitative parameters, including iodine concentration (IC), effective atomic number (Zeff), and slope of the energy spectrum curve from 40 keV to 70 keV (λ), were measured three times for each patient by two blinded radiologists in arterial/venous/delayed phases (AP/VP/DP). Differences in traditional features and spectral quantitative parameters between the two groups were compared using univariable analysis. Independent predictors of the Lauren classification of LAGC were screened using multivariable logistic regression analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to assess the discriminating capability. Ultimately, the nomogram, including clinical features and spectral CT quantitative parameters, was developed.

Results: Gender, nIC in AP (APnIC), and λ in DP (λd) were independent predictors for Lauren classification. The nomogram based on these indicators produced the best performance with an area under the curve of 0.841 (95% confidence interval: 0.749-0.932), specificity of 85.3%, accuracy of 76.4%, and sensitivity of 68.4%.

Conclusion: The nomogram based on clinical features and spectral CT quantitative parameters exhibits great potential in the preoperative and non-invasive assessment of Lauren classification for LAGC.

Key points: Question Can the proposed nomogram, integrating clinical features and spectral quantitative parameters, preoperatively predict the Lauren classification in locally advanced gastric cancer (LAGC)? Findings The nomogram, based on gender, arterial phase normalized iodine concentration, and slope of the energy spectrum curve in the delayed phase showed satisfactory predictive ability. Clinical relevance The established nomogram could contribute to guiding individualized treatment strategies and risk stratification in patients by predicting the Lauren classification for LAGC before surgery.