Assessing the Severity of ODT and Factors Determinants of Late Arrival in Young Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke.

Abstract

Background: Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is increasingly affecting younger populations, necessitating prompt thrombolytic therapy within a narrow therapeutic window. Pre-hospital delays are prevalent, particularly in China, yet targeted research on the youth population remains scarce.

Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, data from AIS patients aged 18-50 admitted to Longhua District People's Hospital, Shenzhen from December 2021 to December 2023 were analyzed using XGBoost and Random Forest machine learning algorithms, coupled with SHAP visualization, to identify factors contributing to pre-hospital delays.

Results: Among 1954 AIS patients, 528 young patients were analyzed. The median time to hospital arrival was 8.34 hours, with 82.0% experiencing delays. Analysis of different age subgroups showed that young patients aged 36-50 years old had a higher delay rate than patients under 36 years old. Machine learning algorithms identified stroke awareness, age, TOAST classification, ambulance arrival, dysarthria, mRS on admission, dizziness, wake-up stroke, etc. as important determinants of delay.

Conclusion: This study highlights the necessity of machine learning in identifying delay risk factors in young stroke patients. Enhanced public education, particularly regarding stroke symptoms and the use of emergency services, is crucial for reducing pre-hospital delays and improving patient outcomes.