Future cities' theories for sustainable future: A systematic literature review

IF 3 3区管理学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Futures Pub Date : 2024-10-24 DOI:10.1016/j.futures.2024.103494

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

In recent decades, sustainability has surged as a pivotal topic in academic discourse, driven by heightened global awareness of its critical role in addressing climate change, biodiversity loss, and social inequities. Consequently, cities and local authorities are increasingly prioritizing sustainability integration into urban development strategies. However, the realization of the 2015 Sustainable Development Goals faces challenges, with only 12–15 % of targets estimated to be met by the 2030 deadline. Scholars attribute this under-performance to the absence of a comprehensive approach to sustainable urban development. This study investigates the framework and mechanisms of mature future cities’ theories in achieving sustainability, focusing on sustainable urban development principles. Through a systematic review utilizing Natural Language Processing and statistical analysis of over 27,000 SCOPUS documents, the research evaluates 43 future cities’ theories from 1900 to 2023. Criteria such as comprehensiveness, consistency, empirical support, and applicability to sustainable development are analyzed. The study identifies mature theories like Smart City, Resilient City, and Sustainable City as promising avenues for sustainable urban development, albeit requiring refinement. The findings offer valuable insights to guide research and practice towards achieving sustainable urban development in cities.

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未来城市的可持续未来理论：系统文献综述

近几十年来，全球对可持续发展在应对气候变化、生物多样性丧失和社会不平等方面的关键作用的认识不断提高，可持续发展已成为学术讨论中的一个重要议题。因此，城市和地方当局越来越重视将可持续性纳入城市发展战略。然而，2015 年可持续发展目标的实现面临挑战，预计到 2030 年的最后期限，只有 12-15% 的目标可以实现。学者们将这一欠佳表现归咎于缺乏可持续城市发展的综合方法。本研究以可持续城市发展原则为重点，调查了成熟的未来城市理论在实现可持续性方面的框架和机制。通过利用自然语言处理技术对超过 27,000 份 SCOPUS 文件进行系统回顾和统计分析，本研究对 1900 年至 2023 年期间的 43 个未来城市理论进行了评估。分析的标准包括全面性、一致性、经验支持以及对可持续发展的适用性。研究发现，智能城市、弹性城市和可持续城市等成熟理论是城市可持续发展的可行途径，尽管还需要完善。研究结果为指导城市可持续发展的研究和实践提供了宝贵的见解。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Futures Multiple-

CiteScore

6.00

自引率

10.00%

发文量

124

期刊介绍： Futures is an international, refereed, multidisciplinary journal concerned with medium and long-term futures of cultures and societies, science and technology, economics and politics, environment and the planet and individuals and humanity. Covering methods and practices of futures studies, the journal seeks to examine possible and alternative futures of all human endeavours. Futures seeks to promote divergent and pluralistic visions, ideas and opinions about the future. The editors do not necessarily agree with the views expressed in the pages of Futures