Slavko Dimović, Milica Ćurčić, Dušan Nikezić, Ivan Lazović, Dušan Radivojević
{"title":"Rapid deep learning prediction model using satellite imagery for radiation accident Announcement system in Serbia","authors":"Slavko Dimović, Milica Ćurčić, Dušan Nikezić, Ivan Lazović, Dušan Radivojević","doi":"10.1016/j.nucengdes.2024.113657","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Radioactivity environmental monitoring with the help of the Radiation Accident Announcement System (RAAS) established in the Republic of Serbia is of vital importance for rapid response in the event of intervention dose values being reached such as Operational Intervention levels (OILs). There are cases of impossibility of using a ground-based model in order to predict the transport and spread of radiation during a nuclear accident such as the one in the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant 2011. Modern technology has made it possible to use machine learning models with remote sensing data in addition (or an alternative) to atmospheric models with ground data collection methods. Deep learning (DL) model was developed and trained on a satellite-based cloud fraction dataset to forecast diurnal cloud drift. By forecasting the movement of clouds that are potential carriers of radioactive materials, decision-makers can provide an adequate response with an Action Plan in the case of nuclear and radiation accidents and incidents. Designed Application Programming Interface (API) has been developed and integrated between the DL model and the RAAS. In this way, the monitoring, data sharing and exchange processes were automated in order to trigger the DL model when an OILs value of 1 μSv/h is reached. The hyperparameter optimization process of the DL model was done with grid search and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) to achieve maximum performance on the data in a reasonable amount of time. The evolution metrics to monitor and measure the performance of the DL model were cosine similarity (CS) and structural similarity (SS) with the best score of 0.78282 and 0.27063 for grid search, respectively, while 0.27065 and 0.78282 for PSO, respectively. It can be concluded that remote sensing imagery with DL model is an alternative approach against a ground-based forecasting system, and is able to predict in near real-time independently of ground network system and data.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":1,"journal":{"name":"Accounts of Chemical Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":16.4000,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Accounts of Chemical Research","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S002954932400757X","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"化学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Radioactivity environmental monitoring with the help of the Radiation Accident Announcement System (RAAS) established in the Republic of Serbia is of vital importance for rapid response in the event of intervention dose values being reached such as Operational Intervention levels (OILs). There are cases of impossibility of using a ground-based model in order to predict the transport and spread of radiation during a nuclear accident such as the one in the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant 2011. Modern technology has made it possible to use machine learning models with remote sensing data in addition (or an alternative) to atmospheric models with ground data collection methods. Deep learning (DL) model was developed and trained on a satellite-based cloud fraction dataset to forecast diurnal cloud drift. By forecasting the movement of clouds that are potential carriers of radioactive materials, decision-makers can provide an adequate response with an Action Plan in the case of nuclear and radiation accidents and incidents. Designed Application Programming Interface (API) has been developed and integrated between the DL model and the RAAS. In this way, the monitoring, data sharing and exchange processes were automated in order to trigger the DL model when an OILs value of 1 μSv/h is reached. The hyperparameter optimization process of the DL model was done with grid search and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) to achieve maximum performance on the data in a reasonable amount of time. The evolution metrics to monitor and measure the performance of the DL model were cosine similarity (CS) and structural similarity (SS) with the best score of 0.78282 and 0.27063 for grid search, respectively, while 0.27065 and 0.78282 for PSO, respectively. It can be concluded that remote sensing imagery with DL model is an alternative approach against a ground-based forecasting system, and is able to predict in near real-time independently of ground network system and data.
期刊介绍:
Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance.
Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.