Dynamic connectedness in the higher moments between clean energy and oil prices

IF 13.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Wei Hao , Linh Pham
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Abstract

Focusing on clean energy stocks and oil prices, we find that connectedness between these assets not only exists in volatility, but also at higher-order moments, such as skewness and kurtosis, which have been largely under studied in the existing literature. Estimating the connectedness using intra-day data, our initial static analyses suggest that the connectedness between the clean energy and oil markets is heterogenous across the moments and the shock transmitter/recipient role played by each market varies across moments. Further dynamic analyses indicate that higher-order moment connectedness is also time varying and appears to be stronger during uncertain market conditions. In addition, we identify day-of-the-week patterns of higher-order moment connectedness during high uncertainty periods, but these patterns appear to be reversed during low uncertainty periods. The employment of Markov switching regression models further corroborates the market uncertainties as the determinants of higher-order moment connectedness. As an important extension, we provide empirical evidence that including clean energy stocks in the investment portfolio can effectively hedge oil price risks and considering higher-order moments in constructing investment strategies adds extra value to investors. Our utility-based hedging strategy and minimum connectedness portfolio can offer higher utility gains and better risk-return trade-offs to those investors who are not infinitely risk-averse.
清洁能源与石油价格之间高时刻的动态关联性
以清洁能源股票和石油价格为重点,我们发现这些资产之间的关联性不仅存在于波动性中,而且还存在于高阶矩中,如偏度和峰度,而现有文献对这些矩的研究大多不足。通过使用日内数据估算关联性,我们的初步静态分析表明,清洁能源和石油市场之间的关联性在不同时刻是不同的,每个市场在不同时刻所扮演的冲击传递者/接受者角色也不同。进一步的动态分析表明,高阶时刻的关联性也是随时间变化的,在不确定的市场条件下似乎更强。此外,我们还发现,在不确定性较高的时期,高阶时刻关联性的周日模式会发生变化,但在不确定性较低的时期,这些模式似乎会发生逆转。马尔科夫切换回归模型的应用进一步证实了市场不确定性是高阶时刻关联性的决定因素。作为一个重要的延伸,我们提供的实证证据表明,将清洁能源股票纳入投资组合可以有效对冲油价风险,而且在构建投资策略时考虑高阶时刻可以为投资者带来额外价值。我们基于效用的对冲策略和最小关联度投资组合可以为那些并非无限规避风险的投资者提供更高的效用收益和更好的风险收益权衡。
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来源期刊
Energy Economics
Energy Economics ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
18.60
自引率
12.50%
发文量
524
期刊介绍: Energy Economics is a field journal that focuses on energy economics and energy finance. It covers various themes including the exploitation, conversion, and use of energy, markets for energy commodities and derivatives, regulation and taxation, forecasting, environment and climate, international trade, development, and monetary policy. The journal welcomes contributions that utilize diverse methods such as experiments, surveys, econometrics, decomposition, simulation models, equilibrium models, optimization models, and analytical models. It publishes a combination of papers employing different methods to explore a wide range of topics. The journal's replication policy encourages the submission of replication studies, wherein researchers reproduce and extend the key results of original studies while explaining any differences. Energy Economics is indexed and abstracted in several databases including Environmental Abstracts, Fuel and Energy Abstracts, Social Sciences Citation Index, GEOBASE, Social & Behavioral Sciences, Journal of Economic Literature, INSPEC, and more.
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