Modeling forest canopy structure and developing a stand health index using satellite remote sensing

Abstract

Biotic and abiotic disturbances modify tree structure and degrade stand health. Accurate geospatial data on stand structure is important for monitoring tree growth, forest health, progression and severity of diseases and pests, and estimating resilience to climate stress. The live crown ratio (LCR) of trees serves as a key health indicator but has been understudied at the landscape level using remote sensing data. This study generated the leaf area index (LAI) and a novel spatial layer of LCR at site and landscape scales using a combination of satellite data and ground observations. We conducted field surveys to collect plot-level (10 m × 10 m) data in four eastern white pine (EWP; Pinus strobus L.)-dominated sites in the state of Maine, USA. The plot-level data were used to develop regression models for LAI and LCR estimation using microwave (Sentinel-1) and optical (Sentinel-2) remote sensing data and applying the Random Forest (RF) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) machine learning algorithms. The RF model showed higher prediction accuracy than the SVM model at the site level. Moreover, the prediction accuracy at the site and landscape levels were comparable for LAI (R² > 0.76) and LCR (R² > 0.71) using the RF model. Furthermore, the predicted LAI and LCR were integrated with canopy height and stand density to develop a novel health index map for EWP. The resulting health index map successfully delineated patches representing various health categories. Forestry practitioners and decision-makers can use the derived health index map and intermediate spatial data layers (LAI and LCR) to guide stand management. The developed framework can potentially be applied to other coniferous and broadleaved species for remote sensing-based LCR estimation and forest health assessment upon further studies and verification.