Deciphering house prices by integrating street perceptions with a machine-learning algorithm: A case study of Xi'an, China

IF 6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES
Lin Luo , Xiping Yang , Junyi Li , Yongyong Song , Zhiyuan Zhao
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Abstract

A comprehensive understanding of house prices and their factors provide insights into the demand for housing while helping policymakers implement measures to manage the housing market. Traditional studies either focus more on linear relationships and ignore complex, non-linear influences or consider neighborhood amenities but lose sight of the streetscape. This study aims to enrich the literature by integrating street-perception characteristics with an interpretable machine-learning technique for modeling house prices. Specifically, street-view images were semantically segmented to quantify street-perception characteristics from five perspectives: greenness, openness, enclosure, walkability, and imageability. By combining the determinants of community attributes and living convenience, 17 explanatory variables were fed into a gradient-boosting decision tree (GBDT) model to estimate housing prices. The results reveal that the model significantly outperforms the linear model (R2 increased by 47.87 %). Additionally, an improvement of 26.15 % (R2) was observed when street-perception characteristics were incorporated. Moreover, complicated non-linear relationships and interaction effects are discussed by visualizing partial dependence plots (PDPs). These findings offer nuanced guidance for improving the neighborhood environment to promote urban equity and develop a sustainable housing market.
用机器学习算法整合街道感知解密房价:中国西安案例研究
全面了解房价及其影响因素有助于深入了解住房需求,同时帮助政策制定者采取措施管理住房市场。传统的研究要么更多地关注线性关系而忽视复杂的非线性影响因素,要么只考虑街区设施而忽视街道景观。本研究旨在将街道感知特征与可解释的房价建模机器学习技术相结合,从而丰富相关文献。具体来说,对街景图像进行语义分割,从五个角度量化街道感知特征:绿化、开放性、封闭性、可步行性和形象性。结合社区属性和生活便利性的决定因素,将 17 个解释变量输入梯度提升决策树(GBDT)模型,以估算房价。结果显示,该模型明显优于线性模型(R2 提高了 47.87%)。此外,在加入街道感知特征后,R2 提高了 26.15%。此外,还通过可视化局部依存图(PDP)讨论了复杂的非线性关系和交互效应。这些发现为改善街区环境以促进城市公平和发展可持续住房市场提供了细致入微的指导。
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来源期刊
Cities
Cities URBAN STUDIES-
CiteScore
11.20
自引率
9.00%
发文量
517
期刊介绍: Cities offers a comprehensive range of articles on all aspects of urban policy. It provides an international and interdisciplinary platform for the exchange of ideas and information between urban planners and policy makers from national and local government, non-government organizations, academia and consultancy. The primary aims of the journal are to analyse and assess past and present urban development and management as a reflection of effective, ineffective and non-existent planning policies; and the promotion of the implementation of appropriate urban policies in both the developed and the developing world.
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