Evaluating interseismic deformation patterns in the North Tabriz Fault (Iran) using enhanced fitting of velocity field and analysis of surface deformation

Abstract

Understanding the mechanisms and locations of interseismic strain accumulation along faults is essential for assessing earthquake hazards. However, the mechanical response during the transition from deep fault locking to creep behavior remains uncertain. Estimating the slip deficit within these transition zones is challenging. This study challenges the assumption of a constant depth distribution of interseismic slip rate along the fault over time and proposes variable locking depths as an alternative model. By rejecting the constant locking depth assumption, singularity issues during stress theorem resolution are resolved. To address this, we employ a methodology considering creep propagation within a fully elastic medium. This approach incorporates long-term deformation resulting from viscoelastic flow in the upper mantle and lower crust. Including viscoelastic effects improves the fit to interseismic deformation rates, yielding lower locking depths compared to fully elastic models. To conduct the investigation, the GPS velocity field is recovered using the forward problem and the boundary element method. Subsequently, a physics-based inversion approach, deep interseismic creep, is employed to determine interseismic deformation patterns on a strike-slip fault. Furthermore, this study examined the correlation between the dislocation parameters and their relationship, as well as established the probability distributions associated with each faulting parameter. This research highlights the importance of considering variable locking depths in understanding interseismic strain accumulation and the transition to creep behavior along faults. The findings contribute to improved earthquake hazard assessment and mitigation strategies by providing valuable insights into fault behavior mechanics along the North Tabriz Fault.