Unlocking sustainable development: Evaluating the impact of monetary and fiscal policies on ecological footprint in India

Muhammed Ashiq Villanthenkodath , Shreya Pal , Mohd Arshad Ansari
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Abstract

India's rapid economic growth underscores the increased necessity of pursuing the paradigms of sustainable development. However, concerns over environmental sustainability have risen in tandem with the country's aspirational goals for economic progress. Therefore, a crucial aspect of managing this is to create a balance between economic prosperity and environmental quality, wherein comprehending how fiscal and monetary policies affect India's ecological footprint becomes an utmost priority. In this vein, this study evaluates the impact of fiscal and monetary policies on India's ecological footprint while controlling for economic growth, squared economic growth, and renewable energy consumption between 1990 and 2022. Given the complexity of these links and well-suitability for examining both short-term dynamics and long-term relationships, this study employs the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model as its methodology for the empirical analysis. Thus, the findings indicate a significant long-term relationship between India's ecological footprint, fiscal policy, monetary policy, economic growth, squared economic growth, and renewable energy consumption while considering the ecological footprint as the dependent variable. Surprisingly, fiscal policy demonstrates insignificat negligible impacts on the ecological footprint in both the short and long run. Conversely, the result underscores that monetary policy effectively curbs the ecological footprint in both the short and long run. Furthermore, the study validates the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis in the long run. However, no evidence supports the EKC hypothesis in the short run. Besides, the outcome unveils that renewable energy consumption reduces the ecological footprint with no temporal differences. Hence, the policy implications derived from these findings emphasize the crucial role of monetary policy and integrating renewable energy strategies into policy frameworks for achieving sustainable development outcomes, in addition to the other policy interventions that prioritize ecological conservation alongside economic development, ensuring a balanced approach to solve environmental and economic challenges in India.
开启可持续发展:评估货币和财政政策对印度生态足迹的影响
印度经济的快速增长凸显出追求可持续发展模式的必要性与日俱增。然而,随着印度对经济进步的憧憬,对环境可持续性的担忧也随之上升。因此,如何在经济繁荣和环境质量之间取得平衡是管理这一问题的关键所在,而理解财政和货币政策如何影响印度的生态足迹则成为重中之重。本着这一思路,本研究评估了财政和货币政策对印度生态足迹的影响,同时控制了 1990 年至 2022 年间的经济增长、经济增长平方和以及可再生能源消耗。考虑到这些联系的复杂性以及研究短期动态和长期关系的适宜性,本研究采用了自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型作为实证分析的方法。因此,研究结果表明,将生态足迹作为因变量时,印度的生态足迹、财政政策、货币政策、经济增长、经济增长平方和可再生能源消费之间存在显著的长期关系。令人惊讶的是,财政政策对生态足迹的短期和长期影响都微乎其微。相反,研究结果强调,货币政策在短期和长期都能有效抑制生态足迹。此外,研究还验证了环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)的长期假设。然而,没有证据支持短期的环境库兹涅茨曲线假说。此外,研究结果表明,可再生能源消费减少了生态足迹,且没有时间上的差异。因此,从这些研究结果中得出的政策含义强调了货币政策的关键作用,以及将可再生能源战略纳入政策框架以实现可持续发展成果,此外还有其他政策干预措施,在发展经济的同时优先考虑生态保护,确保以平衡的方法解决印度的环境和经济挑战。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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