Epidemiology and geographical patterns of common childhood cancers in Iran: Evidence from the National Cancer Registry

Abstract

Introduction

Cancer is projected to become the primary cause of death in the 21st century. Although childhood cancer is relatively rare, it remains a significant contributor to mortality among children. This study examines the geographical distribution of childhood cancer incidence in Iranian provinces using data from the National Cancer Registry between 2014 and 2018.

Materials and methods

This registry-based study analyzed data from 14,711 children under 20 diagnosed with common childhood cancers, sourced from the Iranian National Population-based Cancer Registry for the period 2014–2018. The age-standardized incidence rates (ASR) were calculated using direct standardization methods and reported per 1 million person-years. Spatial autocorrelation measures, including global and local indices such as Moran's I and Getis-Ord's G, were employed to identify high-risk and low-risk areas, assess overall spatial dependence, and pinpoint specific clusters and hotspots of incidence rates.

Results

ASR for childhood cancer in Iran was 119.56 per 1 million individuals aged 0–19 years. Boys had a higher ASR (129.98) than girls (107.68). Childhood cancer cases increased from 2765 in 2014 to 3354 in 2018, with leukemia as the most common type, followed by brain and nervous system, lymphoma, bone, and connective and soft tissue cancers. Spatial analysis identified high-risk clusters in central Iran (Isfahan, Yazd, Tehran) and low-risk clusters in the northeast (Kermanshah, West and East Azerbaijan, Kurdistan).

Conclusion

This study highlights high childhood cancer incidence in Iran, particularly among boys and in central regions, with elevated leukemia rates. These findings call for targeted prevention strategies and further research to address geographic and gender disparities and to improve care programs.