Voters distrust delayed election results, but a prebunking message inoculates against distrust.

IF 2.2 Q2 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES
PNAS nexus Pub Date : 2024-10-15 eCollection Date: 2024-10-01 DOI:10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae414
Mackenzie Lockhart, Jennifer Gaudette, Seth J Hill, Thad Kousser, Mindy Romero, Laura Uribe
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Counting and certifying election results in the United States can take days and even weeks following election day. These delays are often linked to distrust in elections but does delay cause distrust? What can election officials do to counteract distrust if counting most ballots and announcing results cannot occur on election night? Using a preregistered survey experiment of nearly 10,000 Americans, this article shows that informing voters about longer-than-expected vote counting time induces a large, significant decrease in trust in the election. However, viewing a "prebunking" video in advance of being informed of the delay in results more than makes up for the delay-induced decrease in election trust. Our findings have two important implications. First, unexpected delays in calling elections induce distrust even without misinformation from third parties. Second, providing voters with information about vote counting and the legitimate reasons for delays increases trust and mitigates the distrust induced by delays.

选民不信任延迟的选举结果,但预先发布的信息可以防止不信任。
在美国,选举结果的计票和认证在选举日之后可能需要数天甚至数周的时间。这些延误往往与对选举的不信任有关,但延误是否会导致不信任?如果不能在选举当晚计算大多数选票并宣布结果,选举官员可以做些什么来消除不信任?本文通过对近万名美国人进行预先登记的调查实验表明,告知选民计票时间比预期长,会导致选民对选举的信任度大幅显著下降。然而,在被告知计票时间延迟之前观看 "预监票 "视频可以弥补因计票时间延迟而导致的选举信任度下降。我们的研究结果有两个重要意义。首先,即使没有来自第三方的错误信息,选举结果的意外延迟也会引发不信任。其次,向选民提供计票信息和延迟的合理原因会增加信任度,减轻延迟引起的不信任。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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CiteScore
1.80
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