Disparities in tobacco smoking and risk of cardiovascular disease in people with low socioeconomic status or serious psychological distress: A simulation analysis.
Boram Lee, Linzy V Rosen, Nora M Mulroy, Yiqi Qian, Fatma M Shebl, Jessica E Becker, Emily P Hyle, Douglas E Levy, Krishna P Reddy
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Introduction: High tobacco smoking prevalence in people with low SES or serious psychological distress (SPD) in the U.S. may increase cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk among these marginalized subpopulations. We estimate how smoking disparities contribute to CVD disparities.
Methods: Using the Simulation of Tobacco and Nicotine Outcomes and Policy model, a validated microsimulation model of tobacco use and clinical outcomes, we used 2004-2019 data from the National Health Interview Survey to first compare 20-year cumulative CVD incidence for 40-year-olds by sex, smoking status, and marginalized subpopulation membership. Second, we simulated the marginalized subpopulations with representative age, sex, and smoking status distributions to estimate 20-year cumulative CVD incidence under status quo and counterfactual scenarios. In the counterfactual scenario, smoking prevalence and trends in the low SES and SPD subpopulations match those in the higher SES and non-SPD subpopulations, respectively.
Results: The model-projected impact of smoking on 20-year cumulative CVD incidence is considerably larger than the impact of low SES or SPD; for example, among 40-year-old males, cumulative CVD incidence is 28.3% for low SES people who currently smoke, 13.0% for low SES people who never smoke, and 26.2% for higher SES people who currently smoke. In the second analysis, in the status quo scenario, model-projected 20-year cumulative CVD incidence is 19.3% for low SES and 22.1% for SPD; in the counterfactual scenario, it is 18.1% for low SES and 19.6% for SPD.
Conclusions: Interventions focused on reducing smoking disparities could substantially reduce CVD in marginalized subpopulations.
期刊介绍:
The American Journal of Preventive Medicine is the official journal of the American College of Preventive Medicine and the Association for Prevention Teaching and Research. It publishes articles in the areas of prevention research, teaching, practice and policy. Original research is published on interventions aimed at the prevention of chronic and acute disease and the promotion of individual and community health.
Of particular emphasis are papers that address the primary and secondary prevention of important clinical, behavioral and public health issues such as injury and violence, infectious disease, women''s health, smoking, sedentary behaviors and physical activity, nutrition, diabetes, obesity, and substance use disorders. Papers also address educational initiatives aimed at improving the ability of health professionals to provide effective clinical prevention and public health services. Papers on health services research pertinent to prevention and public health are also published. The journal also publishes official policy statements from the two co-sponsoring organizations, review articles, media reviews, and editorials. Finally, the journal periodically publishes supplements and special theme issues devoted to areas of current interest to the prevention community.