The Clinical Value of Serum Creatinine-to-Bilirubin Ratio in Predicting the Severity and Prognosis of Acute Pancreatitis.

Abstract

Introduction: Bilirubin (BIL) and creatinine (Cr) have long been recognized as potential early indicators of disease severity. A recent study found that the Cr-to-BIL ratio (CTR) was more sensitive and specific than either serum Cr or BIL alone. Our research focused on the clinical significance of CTR in evaluating the severity and prognosticating outcomes of acute pancreatitis (AP) in patients.

Methods: Patients diagnosed with AP at the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangdong Pharmaceutical University between July 1, 2016, and December 31, 2020 were included. The analysis then focused on examining the relationship between CTR levels and the severity of the illness, the occurrence of complications, and the prognosticating outcomes for individuals diagnosed with AP. A total of 286 AP patients were enrolled.

Results: Multivariate regression analyses indicated that AP patients with elevated CTR levels were more likely to develop severe AP. They exhibited higher MODS, Ranson, and APACHE-II scores, an increased incidence of organ failures (acute heart failure [AHF], acute kidney injury [AKI], and acute myocardial infarction), higher 30-day all-cause mortality rates, and a worse prognosis, often requiring more frequent use of vasoactive and diuretic agents compared to those with lower CTR levels. When CTR >14.05, AP patients had increased occurrence of AHF and AKI, higher 30-day all-cause mortality rates, more frequently using vasoactive agent and diuretic agent. Besides, the disease severity scores (MODS, Ranson, and APACHE-II) and hospital stays were markedly increased.

Conclusion: AP patients with elevated CTR levels are prone to more severe disease progression, increased complications, and poorer outcomes compared to those with lower CTR levels.