Prediction of lymphovascular invasion in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma by computed tomography-based radiomics analysis: 2D or 3D ?

Abstract

Background: To compare the performance between one-slice two-dimensional (2D) and whole-volume three-dimensional (3D) computed tomography (CT)-based radiomics models in the prediction of lymphovascular invasion (LVI) status in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

Methods: Two hundred twenty-four patients with ESCC (158 LVI-absent and 66 LVI-present) were enrolled in this retrospective study. The enrolled patients were randomly split into the training and testing sets with a 7:3 ratio. The 2D and 3D radiomics features were derived from the primary tumors' 2D and 3D regions of interest (ROIs) using 1.0 mm thickness contrast-enhanced CT (CECT) images. The 2D and 3D radiomics features were screened using inter-/intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC) analysis, Wilcoxon rank-sum test, Spearman correlation test, and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, and the radiomics models were built by multivariate logistic stepwise regression. The performance of 2D and 3D radiomics models was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The actual clinical utility of the 2D and 3D radiomics models was evaluated by decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results: There were 753 radiomics features from 2D ROIs and 1130 radiomics features from 3D ROIs, and finally, 7 features were retained to construct 2D and 3D radiomics models, respectively. ROC analysis revealed that in both the training and testing sets, the 3D radiomics model exhibited higher AUC values than the 2D radiomics model (0.930 versus 0.852 and 0.897 versus 0.851, respectively). The 3D radiomics model showed higher accuracy than the 2D radiomics model in the training and testing sets (0.899 versus 0.728 and 0.788 versus 0.758, respectively). In addition, the 3D radiomics model has higher specificity and positive predictive value, while the 2D radiomics model has higher sensitivity and negative predictive value. The DCA indicated that the 3D radiomics model provided higher actual clinical utility regarding overall net benefit than the 2D radiomics model.

Conclusions: Both 2D and 3D radiomics features can be employed as potential biomarkers to predict the LVI in ESCC. The performance of the 3D radiomics model is better than that of the 2D radiomics model for the prediction of the LVI in ESCC.