Elevation-dependent warming and possible-driving mechanisms over global highlands

IF 3.5 3区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Haider Abbas, Mojolaoluwa Toluwalase Daramola, Ming Xu
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Elevation-dependent warming (EDW) has been a topic of intense debate due to limited observed data in global highland areas. This study aims to fill this gap by utilizing CRU and ERA5 datasets from 1981 to 2021 to explore the trends of climate change and its elevation dependency. The anomalies of temperature indicators (Tmean, Tmax, and Tmin) in both ERA5 and CRU showed significant warming trends over global highlands. Moreover, the response of temperature indicators to elevation across global highlands is not spatially uniform. The linear regression model based on the elevation showed significant warming signals for the temperature indicators at various elevations over the global highlands. On a regional scale, Tmean and Tmax predominantly showed linear EDW over EU highlands, while Tmean in Asian highlands exhibited EDW signals at 4–5 km. Tmin showed EDW at 2.5–5.5 km with ERA5 and 3–5 km with CRU. In the Andes, EDW was prominent at 2.5–4 km. Overall, EDW signals are evident in all studied regions but vary across them. While assessing the driving factors, the results of this study indicate that total column water vapour (TCWV), snow depth (SD), snow albedo, and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) correlated positively with the temperature indicators. These findings emphasize the significance of elevation-specific interactions between environmental factors and temperature in forecasting temperature changes in mountainous areas. Additionally, temperature exhibited coherence with teleconnection indices from the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. Asian and European (EU) highlands exhibited interzonal coherence with the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans, while North American (NA) highlands showed coherence, followed by South American (SA) highlands. These findings provide a comprehensive understanding of EDW and its implications for highland regions globally, including the potential for more severe depletion of snow/ice resources in a warmer future.

全球高原上空随海拔升高而变暖的现象及可能的驱动机制
由于全球高原地区的观测数据有限,海拔依赖性变暖(EDW)一直是一个激烈争论的话题。本研究旨在利用1981-2021年的CRU和ERA5数据集来探讨气候变化的趋势及其海拔依赖性,从而填补这一空白。ERA5和CRU的温度指标(Tmean、Tmax和Tmin)异常均显示全球高原地区有明显的变暖趋势。此外,全球高地气温指标对海拔高度的响应在空间上并不一致。基于海拔高度的线性回归模型显示,全球高原上不同海拔高度的温度指标都出现了显著的变暖信号。在区域尺度上,欧盟高原的 Tmean 和 Tmax 主要呈现线性 EDW,而亚洲高原的 Tmean 在 4-5 公里处呈现 EDW 信号。ERA5的Tmin在2.5-5.5千米处显示出EDW,CRU的Tmin在3-5千米处显示出EDW。在安第斯山脉,EDW 在 2.5-4 公里处表现突出。总体而言,EDW 信号在所有研究区域都很明显,但在不同区域有所不同。在评估驱动因素时,本研究结果表明,总水柱水蒸气(TCWV)、积雪深度(SD)、雪反照率和归一化差异植被指数(NDVI)与温度指标呈正相关。这些发现强调了特定海拔高度环境因素与气温之间的相互作用在预报山区气温变化中的重要性。此外,气温与大西洋和太平洋的远程联系指数也表现出一致性。亚洲和欧洲(EU)高地与太平洋和大西洋表现出区间一致性,而北美(NA)高地表现出一致性,其次是南美(SA)高地。这些发现让人们全面了解了EDW及其对全球高原地区的影响,包括在未来气候变暖的情况下,冰雪资源可能出现更严重的枯竭。
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来源期刊
International Journal of Climatology
International Journal of Climatology 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
7.70%
发文量
417
审稿时长
4 months
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Climatology aims to span the well established but rapidly growing field of climatology, through the publication of research papers, short communications, major reviews of progress and reviews of new books and reports in the area of climate science. The Journal’s main role is to stimulate and report research in climatology, from the expansive fields of the atmospheric, biophysical, engineering and social sciences. Coverage includes: Climate system science; Local to global scale climate observations and modelling; Seasonal to interannual climate prediction; Climatic variability and climate change; Synoptic, dynamic and urban climatology, hydroclimatology, human bioclimatology, ecoclimatology, dendroclimatology, palaeoclimatology, marine climatology and atmosphere-ocean interactions; Application of climatological knowledge to environmental assessment and management and economic production; Climate and society interactions
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