Solar tower power generation under future attenuation and climate scenarios

IF 16.3 1区工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews Pub Date : 2024-10-13 DOI:10.1016/j.rser.2024.114997

Jesús Polo , Shukla Poddar , Noelia Simal , Jesús Ballestrín , Aitor Marzo , Merlinde Kay , Elena Carra

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Abstract

This work presents a novel analysis of the potential impact of atmospheric attenuation in the performance of solar tower plants for future climate change scenarios (2030–2060). Atmospheric attenuation has been estimated from aerosol optical depth information in CMIP6 climatic models for several scenarios (optimistic and pessimistic in terms of mitigation actions taken). Atmospheric attenuation data derived from CMIP6 models was evaluated using the extensive and reliable experimental database at PSA (Plataforma Solar de Almería). Detailed modeling of a solar tower plant is also performed for the conditions at PSA showing a decrease in annual power production less than 2 % for 2030–2060 period. A global impact of atmospheric attenuation is analyzed in relative terms and global maps of future attenuation shows the specific regions more adversely affected in the optimistic and pessimistic future scenarios. According to impact of atmospheric attenuation in solar field efficiency, these results may help in the future planning of deployment for solar tower plants.

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未来衰减和气候情景下的太阳能塔发电

本研究针对未来气候变化情景（2030-2060 年）下大气衰减对太阳能塔式电站性能的潜在影响进行了新颖的分析。大气衰减是根据 CMIP6 气候模型中的气溶胶光学深度信息估算的，适用于几种情景（在采取减缓行动方面的乐观和悲观情景）。利用 PSA（Plataforma Solar de Almería）广泛可靠的实验数据库，对 CMIP6 模型得出的大气衰减数据进行了评估。此外，还根据 PSA 的条件对太阳能塔式发电厂进行了详细建模，结果显示 2030-2060 年期间年发电量的降幅小于 2%。对大气衰减的全球影响进行了相对分析，未来衰减的全球地图显示了在乐观和悲观的未来情景中受到不利影响较大的特定区域。根据大气衰减对太阳能场效率的影响，这些结果可能有助于未来太阳能塔式发电厂的部署规划。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 工程技术-能源与燃料

CiteScore

31.20

自引率

5.70%

发文量

1055

审稿时长

62 days

期刊介绍： The mission of Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews is to disseminate the most compelling and pertinent critical insights in renewable and sustainable energy, fostering collaboration among the research community, private sector, and policy and decision makers. The journal aims to exchange challenges, solutions, innovative concepts, and technologies, contributing to sustainable development, the transition to a low-carbon future, and the attainment of emissions targets outlined by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews publishes a diverse range of content, including review papers, original research, case studies, and analyses of new technologies, all featuring a substantial review component such as critique, comparison, or analysis. Introducing a distinctive paper type, Expert Insights, the journal presents commissioned mini-reviews authored by field leaders, addressing topics of significant interest. Case studies undergo consideration only if they showcase the work's applicability to other regions or contribute valuable insights to the broader field of renewable and sustainable energy. Notably, a bibliographic or literature review lacking critical analysis is deemed unsuitable for publication.