GUI-based platform for slope stability prediction under seismic conditions using machine learning algorithms

Mohammad Sadegh Barkhordari, Mohammad Mahdi Barkhordari, Danial Jahed Armaghani, Edy Tonnizam Mohamad, Behrouz Gordan
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Abstract

One of the most significant and crucial issues in geotechnical engineering works, such as earth dams, embankments, and landfills to name a few, is slope stability assessment. Better methods are required to anticipate slope collapse because of its fatal effects. The goal of this research is to create a straightforward machine learning (ML) model for examining slope stability under seismic conditions. Four ML algorithms are examined, including Logistic Regression (LR), Quadratic Discriminant Analysis (QDA), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM), and Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA). The models are trained and tested on the database containing 700 slopes. Tenfold cross-validation is utilized for parameter tuning, model training, and performance estimation of machine learning models using the training set. The best model is interpreted using the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method, which is built on game theories. Among the studied models, the LGBM model is the most accurate based on ranking technique. Most influential features for slope stability prediction under seismic conditions are detected by the SHAP method as follows: peak ground acceleration, friction angle, and angle of inclination.

基于 GUI 的平台,利用机器学习算法进行地震条件下的边坡稳定性预测
岩土工程(如土坝、堤坝和垃圾填埋场等)中最重要和最关键的问题之一是斜坡稳定性评估。由于斜坡坍塌会造成致命影响,因此需要更好的方法来预测斜坡坍塌。本研究的目标是创建一个直接的机器学习(ML)模型,用于检查地震条件下的边坡稳定性。研究考察了四种 ML 算法,包括逻辑回归 (LR)、二次判别分析 (QDA)、轻梯度提升机 (LGBM) 和线性判别分析 (LDA)。这些模型在包含 700 个斜坡的数据库中进行训练和测试。利用训练集对机器学习模型的参数调整、模型训练和性能评估进行十倍交叉验证。利用建立在博弈论基础上的 SHapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)方法对最佳模型进行解释。在所研究的模型中,基于排序技术的 LGBM 模型是最准确的。SHAP 方法检测出地震条件下对边坡稳定性预测最有影响的特征如下:地面峰值加速度、摩擦角和倾斜角。
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