Fast and full characterization of large earthquakes from prompt elastogravity signals

Abstract

Prompt ElastoGravity Signals are light-speed gravity-induced signals recorded before the arrival of seismic waves. They have raised interest for early warning applications but their weak amplitudes close to the background seismic noise have questioned their actual potential for operational use. A deep-learning model has recently demonstrated its ability to mitigate this noise limitation and to provide in near real-time the earthquake magnitude (Mw). However, this approach was efficient only for large earthquakes (Mw ≥ 8.3) of known focal mechanism. Here we show unprecedented performance in full earthquake characterization using the dense broadband seismic network deployed in Alaska and Western Canada. Our deep-learning model provides accurate magnitude and focal mechanism estimates of Mw ≥ 7.8 earthquakes, 2 minutes after origin time (hence the tsunamigenic potential). Our results represent a major step towards the routine use of prompt elastogravity signals in operational warning systems, and demonstrate its potential for tsunami warning in densely-instrumented areas. A deep-learning model can estimate the magnitude and focal mechanism of large earthquakes in near-real time using light-speed gravity-induced signals recorded by seismometers before the arrival of seismic waves, advancing tsunami warning systems.