Study on the construction and application of a community emergency capacity evaluation model based on a combined weighting-discrete Hopfield neural network

IF 4.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

To accurately evaluate community emergency capability and solve the problems with the existing index system, which has been declared unreasonable with respect to components, unclear in meaning and unreliable in terms of empowerment results caused by a single algorithm, a triangle model of community safety and resilience is introduced to construct an emergency capability index system suitable for communities with frequent geological disasters in Yunnan Province. Additionally, a combined empowerment model is constructed to improve the accuracy of the empowerment results. First, according to the relevant information and the results of expert consultations and field investigations, the index system is determined. Second, three weighting methods, the G1-entropy weight, G1-CRITIC and G1-coefficient of variation, are used to calculate the index weight and perform a comparative analysis, after which the best weighting method is selected and combined with the discrete Hopfield neural network model to construct a weighting-evaluation model. Finally, the model is applied to evaluate the emergency capability of a community with frequent geological disasters in Yunnan Province. The results show that the index of monitoring and early warning ability of geological disasters is added, which makes the index more targeted, and thus, the result obtained using the G1-CRITIC combination weighting model is more accurate. The evaluation model constructed in this paper accurately evaluates community emergency capacity and is further popularized and applied in communities with frequent geological disasters in Yunnan Province.
基于加权-离散 Hopfield 组合神经网络的社区应急能力评估模型的构建与应用研究
为准确评价社区应急能力,解决现有指标体系存在的成分不合理、含义不清晰、单一算法导致赋权结果不可靠等问题,引入社区安全与抗灾能力三角模型,构建适合云南省地质灾害频发社区的应急能力指标体系。此外,为提高赋权结果的准确性,还构建了组合赋权模型。首先,根据相关资料以及专家咨询和实地调查的结果,确定指标体系。其次,采用 G1-熵权、G1-CRITIC 和 G1-变异系数三种加权方法计算指标权重并进行对比分析,然后选择最佳加权方法并与离散 Hopfield 神经网络模型相结合,构建加权评价模型。最后,将该模型应用于云南省某地质灾害频发社区的应急能力评价。结果表明,增加了地质灾害监测预警能力指标,使指标的针对性更强,因此采用 G1-CRITIC 组合加权模型得到的结果更加准确。本文构建的评价模型能够准确评价社区应急能力,可在云南省地质灾害频发社区进一步推广应用。
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来源期刊
International journal of disaster risk reduction
International journal of disaster risk reduction GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARYMETEOROLOGY-METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
CiteScore
8.70
自引率
18.00%
发文量
688
审稿时长
79 days
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (IJDRR) is the journal for researchers, policymakers and practitioners across diverse disciplines: earth sciences and their implications; environmental sciences; engineering; urban studies; geography; and the social sciences. IJDRR publishes fundamental and applied research, critical reviews, policy papers and case studies with a particular focus on multi-disciplinary research that aims to reduce the impact of natural, technological, social and intentional disasters. IJDRR stimulates exchange of ideas and knowledge transfer on disaster research, mitigation, adaptation, prevention and risk reduction at all geographical scales: local, national and international. Key topics:- -multifaceted disaster and cascading disasters -the development of disaster risk reduction strategies and techniques -discussion and development of effective warning and educational systems for risk management at all levels -disasters associated with climate change -vulnerability analysis and vulnerability trends -emerging risks -resilience against disasters. The journal particularly encourages papers that approach risk from a multi-disciplinary perspective.
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