Prognostic Value of Estimated Glucose Disposal Rate and Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index in Non-Diabetic Patients Undergoing PCI for Chronic Total Occlusion.

Abstract

Background and objectives: Chronic total occlusion (CTO) is a complex lesion of coronary artery disease (CAD) with a detection rate of approximately 25% on coronary angiography. CTO patients generally experience poor quality of life and prognosis. This study aims to evaluate the association between the estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR), a surrogate marker for insulin resistance (IR), and the prognosis of CTO PCI patients, as well as to investigate the potential role of the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) in this process.

Methods: We retrospectively included 1482 non-diabetic patients who underwent successful CTO PCI at Anzhen Hospital between January 2018 and December 2021. The primary endpoint was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). Clinical characteristics, biochemical markers, and interventional records were collected, and the eGDR and SII were calculated. Cox regression, restricted cubic splines (RCSs), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, and Kaplan-Meier curves were used to assess associations.

Results: MACEs occurred in 158 patients (10.67%). Patients with MACEs had lower eGDR and higher SII levels. A high eGDR significantly reduced MACE risk (Q4 vs. Q1: HR 0.06, 95% CI 0.03-0.12), while a high SII increased it (Q4 vs. Q1: HR 3.32, 95% CI 1.78-6.33). The combination of low eGDRs and high SIIs predicted the highest MACE risk (HR 4.36, 95% CI 2.71-6.01). The SII partially mediated the relationship between eGDR and MACEs.

Conclusions: A low eGDR and high SII are significant predictors of poor prognosis in non-diabetic CTO PCI patients. Combining the eGDR and the SII provides a comprehensive assessment for better predicting cardiovascular outcomes.