Through the Looking Glass Darkly: How May AI Models Influence Future Underwriting?

Abstract

Applications of Artificial Intelligence (AI) deep-learning models to screening for clinical conditions continue to evolve. Instances provided in this treatise include using a simple one-view PA chest radiograph to screen for Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM), congestive heart failure, valvular heart disease, and to assess mortality in asymptomatic persons with respiratory diseases. This technology incorporates hundreds of thousands of CXRs into a convoluted neural network and is generally named AI CXR. As an example, the AUROC (Area Under Receiving Operator Characteristic) of screening for T2DM was 0.84, with sensitivity and specificities that exceed those of the United States Preventative Services Task Force (USPSTF) guidelines for screening with HBA1c or blood glucose studies. The AUROC's for diagnosing ejection fractions less than 40% was 0.92, and for detecting valvular heart diseases was 0.87. The potential implications for underwriting life and disability policies may be significant. A companion article in the Journal of Insurance Medicine addresses this same technology using a simple 12-lead ECG, generally named AI ECGs.