Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants during the XBB wave in the Republic of Korea

Abstract

As COVID-19 has become endemic, SARS-CoV-2 variants are becoming increasingly diverse, underscoring the escalating importance of global genomic surveillance. This study analyzed 86,762 COVID-19 samples identified in the Republic of Korea from September 2022 to November 2023. The results revealed a consistent increase in the prevalence of the XBB variants following the dominance of BN.1, with various XBB sub-lineages co-circulating in the Republic of Korea. The overall nucleotide diversity (π) among the SARS-CoV-2 genomes was 0.00155. Evolutionary analysis revealed that the average time interval between the first detection and estimated date of the most recent common ancestor of Korean XBB sub-lineages was 47 d, suggesting that the novel variants were efficiently identified in the Korean surveillance system. The mutation rate was determined to be in the range of 5.6 × 10^–4 to 9.1 × 10^–4 substitutions/site/year. In conclusion, this study provides insights into the genetic diversity and evolutionary interpretation of the XBB sub-lineages during the XBB wave in the Republic of Korea, highlighting the importance of continued genomic surveillance for emerging variants.