The impact of AI on the workforce: Tasks versus jobs?

IF 4.6 Q2 MATERIALS SCIENCE, BIOMATERIALS

ACS Applied Bio Materials Pub Date : 2024-09-13 DOI:10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111971

Kathryn Bonney , Cory Breaux , Catherine Buffington , Emin Dinlersoz , Lucia Foster , Nathan Goldschlag , John Haltiwanger , Zachary Kroff , Keith Savage

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Will the adoption of AI by businesses substitute for worker tasks or jobs? This is a core question for which relatively scarce evidence exists—especially in the wake of recent advances in generative AI. Using a new large-scale business survey by the U.S. Census Bureau, we find that AI use is having a much greater impact on worker tasks than on employment levels at the firm level. About 27% of firms using AI report replacing worker tasks, but only about 5% experience employment change due to AI use. These rates are expected to increase to nearly 35% and 12%, respectively, in the near future.

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人工智能对劳动力的影响：任务还是工作？

企业采用人工智能是否会取代工人的任务或工作？这是一个证据相对匮乏的核心问题--尤其是在生成式人工智能取得最新进展之后。我们利用美国人口普查局（U.S. Census Bureau）最新的大规模企业调查发现，在企业层面，人工智能的使用对工人任务的影响远大于对就业水平的影响。在使用人工智能的企业中，约有 27% 的企业报告称工人的工作任务被取代，但只有约 5% 的企业因使用人工智能而导致就业率发生变化。预计在不久的将来，这两个比例将分别增至近 35% 和 12%。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

ACS Applied Bio Materials Chemistry-Chemistry (all)

CiteScore

9.40

自引率

2.10%

发文量

464