Raising awareness of climate change: Nature, activists, politicians?

IF 6.6 2区经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY

Ecological Economics Pub Date : 2024-09-20 DOI:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108374

Daryna Grechyna

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This paper evaluates the relative importance of natural and human factors in shaping public awareness of climate change. I compare the predictive efficacy of natural factors, represented by air temperature deviations from historical norms, and human factors, encompassing noteworthy political events focused on environmental policies and movements led by environmental activists, in forecasting the salience of climate change topic over weekly and annual horizons using regional European countries’ data. The salience of climate change is proxied by the Google search intensity data. The activists’ movements are measured by weekly Friday for Future strikes. The best-performing predictor in the short term (weeks), is the size of activists’ strikes and in the longer term (years), positive deviations of maximum air temperature from historical norms and political meetings focused on environmental policies. The inter-regional spatial relations, when taken into account, significantly improve the forecasts of the future public interest in climate change.

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提高对气候变化的认识：自然、活动家、政治家？

本文评估了自然因素和人为因素在影响公众气候变化意识方面的相对重要性。我利用欧洲地区国家的数据，比较了自然因素（以气温偏离历史标准为代表）和人为因素（包括以环境政策为重点的值得关注的政治事件和环保活动家领导的运动）在预测气候变化话题在周和年度范围内的显著性方面的预测效果。气候变化的显著性由谷歌搜索强度数据表示。活动人士的动向通过每周星期五的 "未来罢工 "来衡量。在短期内（周），预测效果最好的因素是积极分子罢工的规模，而在长期内（年），预测效果最好的因素是最高气温与历史标准的正偏差以及以环境政策为重点的政治会议。考虑到区域间的空间关系，对未来公众对气候变化的兴趣的预测有显著改善。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Ecological Economics 环境科学-环境科学

CiteScore

12.00

自引率

5.70%

发文量

313

审稿时长

6 months

期刊介绍： Ecological Economics is concerned with extending and integrating the understanding of the interfaces and interplay between "nature''s household" (ecosystems) and "humanity''s household" (the economy). Ecological economics is an interdisciplinary field defined by a set of concrete problems or challenges related to governing economic activity in a way that promotes human well-being, sustainability, and justice. The journal thus emphasizes critical work that draws on and integrates elements of ecological science, economics, and the analysis of values, behaviors, cultural practices, institutional structures, and societal dynamics. The journal is transdisciplinary in spirit and methodologically open, drawing on the insights offered by a variety of intellectual traditions, and appealing to a diverse readership. Specific research areas covered include: valuation of natural resources, sustainable agriculture and development, ecologically integrated technology, integrated ecologic-economic modelling at scales from local to regional to global, implications of thermodynamics for economics and ecology, renewable resource management and conservation, critical assessments of the basic assumptions underlying current economic and ecological paradigms and the implications of alternative assumptions, economic and ecological consequences of genetically engineered organisms, and gene pool inventory and management, alternative principles for valuing natural wealth, integrating natural resources and environmental services into national income and wealth accounts, methods of implementing efficient environmental policies, case studies of economic-ecologic conflict or harmony, etc. New issues in this area are rapidly emerging and will find a ready forum in Ecological Economics.