Intergenerational Power Shift and the Rise of Nonarranged Marriages Among Refugees.

IF 3.6 1区社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY

Demography Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI:10.1215/00703370-11555087

Andrew D Foster,Merve Betül Gökçe,Murat Güray Kırdar

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Abstract

The experiences of war and refugee status can alter intrafamily dynamics, with implications for family formation, including marriage. We use the nationally representative Syrian Migrant Sample of the 2018 Turkey Demographic Health Survey (TDHS-S) to conduct a duration analysis of marriage outcomes among Syrian refugees in Turkey, tracking women throughout their residence in prewar Syria (before the conflict began in 2011), postwar Syria (after the conflict began but before arrival in Turkey), and Turkey. We find that early marriage was more prominent among refugees who were unmarried at the time of migration than among those married before migration; the mean marriage age dropped from 19.6 in prewar Syria to 19.1 in postwar Syria and 18.1 in Turkey. Using the TDHS-S and prewar Syrian surveys, we show that this finding aligns with the observed declines in household income and young women's opportunity cost of marriage. Our duration analysis also reveals a notable shift from traditional arranged marriages to more modern marriage forms among refugees in Turkey. An intergenerational power shift might drive the shift toward nonarranged marriages. After arrival in Turkey, wealth and employment of parents decline among refugees. In contrast, Syrian youth in Turkey have higher age-adjusted employment rates than in prewar Syria. Moreover, nonarranged marriages increase more among demographic groups with stronger intergenerational power shifts than among groups with weaker shifts.

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代际权力转移与难民非协议婚姻的兴起。

战争经历和难民身份会改变家庭内部动态，对包括婚姻在内的家庭组建产生影响。我们利用2018年土耳其人口健康调查（TDHS-S）中具有全国代表性的叙利亚移民样本，对土耳其境内叙利亚难民的婚姻结果进行了持续时间分析，跟踪妇女在战前叙利亚（2011年冲突开始前）、战后叙利亚（冲突开始后但抵达土耳其前）和土耳其的整个居住过程。我们发现，与移民前已婚的难民相比，移民时未婚的难民早婚现象更为突出；平均结婚年龄从战前叙利亚的 19.6 岁降至战后叙利亚的 19.1 岁和土耳其的 18.1 岁。通过使用 TDHS-S 和战前叙利亚调查，我们发现这一结果与观察到的家庭收入和年轻女性结婚机会成本的下降相吻合。我们的持续时间分析还揭示了土耳其难民从传统包办婚姻向更现代的婚姻形式的显著转变。代际间的权力转移可能会推动向非包办婚姻的转变。抵达土耳其后，难民父母的财富和就业率都有所下降。相比之下，土耳其境内叙利亚青年的年龄调整后就业率高于战前的叙利亚。此外，与代际权力转移较弱的群体相比，代际权力转移较强的人口群体中的非包办婚姻增加得更多。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Demography DEMOGRAPHY-

CiteScore

5.90

自引率

2.90%

发文量

期刊介绍： Since its founding in 1964, the journal Demography has mirrored the vitality, diversity, high intellectual standard and wide impact of the field on which it reports. Demography presents the highest quality original research of scholars in a broad range of disciplines, including anthropology, biology, economics, geography, history, psychology, public health, sociology, and statistics. The journal encompasses a wide variety of methodological approaches to population research. Its geographic focus is global, with articles addressing demographic matters from around the planet. Its temporal scope is broad, as represented by research that explores demographic phenomena spanning the ages from the past to the present, and reaching toward the future. Authors whose work is published in Demography benefit from the wide audience of population scientists their research will reach. Also in 2011 Demography remains the most cited journal among population studies and demographic periodicals. Published bimonthly, Demography is the flagship journal of the Population Association of America, reaching the membership of one of the largest professional demographic associations in the world.