Cheap talk with two-sided private information

IF 1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS
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Abstract

This paper studies how the transmission of information from a biased expert to a decision maker is affected when the latter has access to an unbiased symmetric private signal. The extra information has two distinct effects on the expert's incentives to communicate. First, there is an information effect that allows the decision maker to choose a better action on expectation. This reduces the implicit cost of transmitting coarse messages and hence hampers communication. Second, there is a risk effect that arises because the extra information introduces uncertainty to the expert. For risk averse experts, this effect increases the cost of sending coarse messages and hence favours communication. I show that the information effect dominates the risk effect, and for any symmetric signal structure there are always sufficiently biased experts for which communication is no longer possible in equilibrium. Moreover, for any bias of the expert, no communication is possible if the signal structure is sufficiently precise. For the uniform signal structure I show that communication decreases with the precision of the signal. Finally, I provide non degenerate examples for which the decision maker's private information cannot make up for the loss of communication implying that the welfare of both agents decreases.
双面私人信息的廉价谈话
本文研究了当决策者获得无偏见的对称私人信号时,有偏见的专家向决策者传递信息会受到怎样的影响。额外的信息对专家的交流动机有两种不同的影响。首先是信息效应,它允许决策者根据预期选择更好的行动。这降低了传递粗略信息的隐性成本,从而阻碍了交流。其次是风险效应,因为额外的信息会给专家带来不确定性。对于厌恶风险的专家来说,这种效应会增加发送粗略信息的成本,从而有利于交流。我的研究表明,信息效应主导了风险效应,而且对于任何对称的信号结构,总是存在足够偏差的专家,对这些专家而言,在均衡状态下不再可能进行交流。此外,对于任何有偏见的专家,如果信号结构足够精确,就不可能有交流。对于均匀信号结构,我证明交流会随着信号的精确度而降低。最后,我提供了一些非退化的例子,在这些例子中,决策者的私人信息无法弥补沟通的损失,这意味着双方的福利都会减少。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.90
自引率
9.10%
发文量
148
期刊介绍: Games and Economic Behavior facilitates cross-fertilization between theories and applications of game theoretic reasoning. It consistently attracts the best quality and most creative papers in interdisciplinary studies within the social, biological, and mathematical sciences. Most readers recognize it as the leading journal in game theory. Research Areas Include: • Game theory • Economics • Political science • Biology • Computer science • Mathematics • Psychology
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