{"title":"The impact of first and further decompensation in patients with metabolic-dysfunction associated compensated advanced chronic liver disease","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.dld.2024.08.005","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background & Aim</h3><p>The first and further decompensation mark the natural history and the risk of mortality in patients with cirrhosis. We assessed the cumulative incidence of first and further (acute and non-acute) decompensation and evaluated their impact on both liver-related death (LR-D) in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) due to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD).</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>Consecutive patients with clinical (LSM>10 kPa) or biopsy-proven (F3-F4 fibrosis) diagnosis of cACLD due to MASLD were included. First and further decompensation were defined according to Baveno VII criteria. The acute (AD) and non-acute (NAD)[MOU1] [VW(2] presentation of the decompensation was also evaluated. Competing risk analysis and cumulative incidence functions (CIF) [MOU3] were assessed by Fine and Gray. Cause-specific Cox models with baseline and time-dependent variables were applied. Multistate model was built to better assess the clinical course of cACLD due to MASLD.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>The cumulative incidence of the first decompensation was 3.5% at 5 years, increasing 20-times the risk of LR-D at cause-specific Cox analysis; the cumulative incidence of further decompensation was 44% at 5 years among patients with first decompensation, additionally increasing 1.6-times the risk of LR-D. Ascites, followed by variceal bleeding, were the most common events in both first and further decompensation. The impact of AD and NAD as both first or further event on LR-D was similar[MOU4] . Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) further independently increased the risk of LR-D of 3.2-times and 1.6-times, respectively, in the whole cohort of cACLD due to MASLD and in those who experienced first decompensation.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>The first and further decompensations (AD and NAD) represent tipping points in the clinical course of patients with cACLD due to MASLD, increasing 20-times and additionally 1.6-times the risk of LR-D. HCC is an independent predictor of LR-D in patients with cACLD due to MASLD, resulting in an additional risk of LR-D when associated with both first and further decompensation.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":11268,"journal":{"name":"Digestive and Liver Disease","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Digestive and Liver Disease","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1590865824009241","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background & Aim
The first and further decompensation mark the natural history and the risk of mortality in patients with cirrhosis. We assessed the cumulative incidence of first and further (acute and non-acute) decompensation and evaluated their impact on both liver-related death (LR-D) in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) due to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD).
Methods
Consecutive patients with clinical (LSM>10 kPa) or biopsy-proven (F3-F4 fibrosis) diagnosis of cACLD due to MASLD were included. First and further decompensation were defined according to Baveno VII criteria. The acute (AD) and non-acute (NAD)[MOU1] [VW(2] presentation of the decompensation was also evaluated. Competing risk analysis and cumulative incidence functions (CIF) [MOU3] were assessed by Fine and Gray. Cause-specific Cox models with baseline and time-dependent variables were applied. Multistate model was built to better assess the clinical course of cACLD due to MASLD.
Results
The cumulative incidence of the first decompensation was 3.5% at 5 years, increasing 20-times the risk of LR-D at cause-specific Cox analysis; the cumulative incidence of further decompensation was 44% at 5 years among patients with first decompensation, additionally increasing 1.6-times the risk of LR-D. Ascites, followed by variceal bleeding, were the most common events in both first and further decompensation. The impact of AD and NAD as both first or further event on LR-D was similar[MOU4] . Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) further independently increased the risk of LR-D of 3.2-times and 1.6-times, respectively, in the whole cohort of cACLD due to MASLD and in those who experienced first decompensation.
Conclusions
The first and further decompensations (AD and NAD) represent tipping points in the clinical course of patients with cACLD due to MASLD, increasing 20-times and additionally 1.6-times the risk of LR-D. HCC is an independent predictor of LR-D in patients with cACLD due to MASLD, resulting in an additional risk of LR-D when associated with both first and further decompensation.
期刊介绍:
Digestive and Liver Disease is an international journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology. It is the official journal of Italian Association for the Study of the Liver (AISF); Italian Association for the Study of the Pancreas (AISP); Italian Association for Digestive Endoscopy (SIED); Italian Association for Hospital Gastroenterologists and Digestive Endoscopists (AIGO); Italian Society of Gastroenterology (SIGE); Italian Society of Pediatric Gastroenterology and Hepatology (SIGENP) and Italian Group for the Study of Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IG-IBD).
Digestive and Liver Disease publishes papers on basic and clinical research in the field of gastroenterology and hepatology.
Contributions consist of:
Original Papers
Correspondence to the Editor
Editorials, Reviews and Special Articles
Progress Reports
Image of the Month
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Symposia and Mini-symposia.