Monitoring flood risk evolution: A systematic review

IF 4.6 2区综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES

iScience Pub Date : 2024-09-20 DOI:10.1016/j.isci.2024.110653

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Land-use change, climate change, human interventions, and socio-economic developments influence the evolution of the risk components hazard, exposure, and vulnerability, and consequently of flood risk. Adaptive flood risk management is a way to cope with evolving risks, but it requires measuring the evolution of risks. To develop principles of flood risk monitoring, we systematically reviewed scientific literature on flood risk evolution analyses. The reviewed publications indicate a wide spread in increase or decrease of flood risk evolution over decades. Furthermore, the publications show a high diversity in factors and methods for flood risk evolution analysis and indicate the main challenges for developing flood risk monitoring. Flood risk monitoring needs the systematic detection of flood risk evolution by periodically (re)evaluate the factors that influence the risk components—hazard, exposure and vulnerability—modeling those risk components and combining them to quantify flood risk.

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监测洪水风险的演变：系统回顾

土地利用的变化、气候变化、人为干预和社会经济发展影响着风险组成部分危害、暴露和脆弱性的演变，进而影响着洪水风险的演变。适应性洪水风险管理是应对不断变化的风险的一种方法，但它需要测量风险的变化。为了制定洪水风险监测原则，我们系统地查阅了有关洪水风险演变分析的科学文献。所查阅的文献表明，几十年来洪水风险演变的增加或减少情况非常普遍。此外，这些出版物还显示了洪水风险演变分析的因素和方法的多样性，并指出了发展洪水风险监测所面临的主要挑战。洪水风险监测需要通过定期（重新）评估影响风险组成部分--灾害、风险暴露和脆弱性--的因素，对这些风险组成部分进行建模，并将它们结合起来量化洪水风险，从而系统地检测洪水风险的演变。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

iScience Multidisciplinary-Multidisciplinary

CiteScore

7.20

自引率

1.70%

发文量

1972

审稿时长

6 weeks

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