What influences intermodal Choices: Metro-Centric, Bus-Centric, Hybrid? insights from Machine learning Approaches

IF 7.3 1区工程技术 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI:10.1016/j.trd.2024.104407

Xinwei Ma , Xiaolin Tian , Hongjun Cui , Mingjia He , Jianbiao Wang , Long Cheng

{"title":"What influences intermodal Choices: Metro-Centric, Bus-Centric, Hybrid? insights from Machine learning Approaches","authors":"Xinwei Ma , Xiaolin Tian , Hongjun Cui , Mingjia He , Jianbiao Wang , Long Cheng","doi":"10.1016/j.trd.2024.104407","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Three types of intermodals are defined: bus-centric, metro-centric, and hybrid, each representing combinations of bus, metro, and a mix of metro and bus with other travel modes for a trip, respectively. Using the household survey from Nanjing, China, comprising 162,191 trips, we applied the multiple models to reveal the nonlinear effects of socio-demographic and travel-related attributes on intermodal travel choices. Results show that bus-centric intermodal choice accounts for 65.82% of the total among the three types. The optimal model, random forest, indicates the relative importance of travel-related, individual, and household attributes, contributing 46.28%, 31.14%, and 22.59% respectively. Non-public transit travel time demonstrates an inverted V-shaped association with bus-centric intermodal choice, with a peak at around 5 min. Older individuals prefer bus-centric intermodal, while younger lean towards metro-centric and hybrid intermodal. Compared to car ownership and motorcycle ownership, bike ownership and E-bike ownership exhibit relatively high impact on intermodal travel choices.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":23277,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment","volume":"136 ","pages":"Article 104407"},"PeriodicalIF":7.3000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S136192092400364X","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Three types of intermodals are defined: bus-centric, metro-centric, and hybrid, each representing combinations of bus, metro, and a mix of metro and bus with other travel modes for a trip, respectively. Using the household survey from Nanjing, China, comprising 162,191 trips, we applied the multiple models to reveal the nonlinear effects of socio-demographic and travel-related attributes on intermodal travel choices. Results show that bus-centric intermodal choice accounts for 65.82% of the total among the three types. The optimal model, random forest, indicates the relative importance of travel-related, individual, and household attributes, contributing 46.28%, 31.14%, and 22.59% respectively. Non-public transit travel time demonstrates an inverted V-shaped association with bus-centric intermodal choice, with a peak at around 5 min. Older individuals prefer bus-centric intermodal, while younger lean towards metro-centric and hybrid intermodal. Compared to car ownership and motorcycle ownership, bike ownership and E-bike ownership exhibit relatively high impact on intermodal travel choices.

查看原文本刊更多论文

是什么影响了多式联运的选择？机器学习方法的启示

我们定义了三种联运方式：以公交车为中心、以地铁为中心和混合型，分别代表公交车、地铁、地铁和公交车与其他出行方式的组合。通过对中国南京市 162191 次出行的家庭调查，我们运用多重模型揭示了社会人口和出行相关属性对多式联运出行选择的非线性影响。结果显示，在三种类型的多式联运选择中，以公交车为中心的多式联运选择占总数的 65.82%。最佳模型--随机森林表明了与旅行相关的属性、个人属性和家庭属性的相对重要性，分别占 46.28%、31.14% 和 22.59%。非公共交通出行时间与以公共汽车为中心的多式联运选择呈倒 V 型关联，在 5 分钟左右达到峰值。老年人更喜欢以公交车为中心的联运方式，而年轻人则倾向于以地铁为中心的混合联运方式。与拥有汽车和摩托车相比，拥有自行车和电动自行车对多式联运出行选择的影响相对较大。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

求助全文

约1分钟内获得全文求助全文

来源期刊

Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment 工程技术-运输科技

CiteScore

14.40

自引率

9.20%

发文量

314

审稿时长

39 days

期刊介绍： Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment focuses on original research exploring the environmental impacts of transportation, policy responses to these impacts, and their implications for transportation system design, planning, and management. The journal comprehensively covers the interaction between transportation and the environment, ranging from local effects on specific geographical areas to global implications such as natural resource depletion and atmospheric pollution. We welcome research papers across all transportation modes, including maritime, air, and land transportation, assessing their environmental impacts broadly. Papers addressing both mobile aspects and transportation infrastructure are considered. The journal prioritizes empirical findings and policy responses of regulatory, planning, technical, or fiscal nature. Articles are policy-driven, accessible, and applicable to readers from diverse disciplines, emphasizing relevance and practicality. We encourage interdisciplinary submissions and welcome contributions from economically developing and advanced countries alike, reflecting our international orientation.