Disproportionate impact of atmospheric heat events on lake surface water temperature increases

IF 29.6 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Xiwen Wang, Kun Shi, Boqiang Qin, Yunlin Zhang, R. Iestyn Woolway
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Abstract

Hot temperature extremes (HTEs) in the atmosphere can also affect lake surface water temperature, but how this impact changes with global warming is not well understood. Here we use numerical modelling and satellite observations to quantify the contribution of HTEs to variations in summer lake surface water temperature and lake heatwaves in 1,260 water bodies worldwide between 1979 and 2022. Over this time period, HTE duration and cumulative intensity over the studied lakes increased significantly, at average rates of 1.4 days per decade and 0.92 °C days per decade, respectively. Despite only accounting for 7% of the total summer days, HTEs are responsible for 24% of lake surface summer warming trends, with the most pronounced effect observed in Europe at 27%. Moreover, HTEs are key drivers of both the duration and cumulative intensity of lake heatwaves. Our findings underscore the pivotal role played by short-term climatic extreme events in shaping long-term lake surface water temperature dynamics.

Abstract Image

大气热事件对湖泊表层水温上升的影响不成比例
大气中的极端高温(HTEs)也会影响湖泊表层水温,但这种影响如何随着全球变暖而变化还不十分清楚。在此,我们利用数值模拟和卫星观测,量化了1979年至2022年期间全球1260个水体的热极端温度对夏季湖泊表层水温变化和湖泊热浪的影响。在此期间,所研究湖泊的热浪持续时间和累积强度显著增加,平均速率分别为每十年 1.4 天和每十年 0.92 °C 天。尽管 HTE 仅占夏季总天数的 7%,但却造成了 24% 的湖面夏季变暖趋势,其中欧洲的影响最为明显,达到 27%。此外,高温热浪是湖泊热浪持续时间和累积强度的主要驱动因素。我们的发现强调了短期极端气候事件在塑造长期湖泊表层水温动态中的关键作用。
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来源期刊
Nature Climate Change
Nature Climate Change ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES-METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
CiteScore
40.30
自引率
1.60%
发文量
267
审稿时长
4-8 weeks
期刊介绍: Nature Climate Change is dedicated to addressing the scientific challenge of understanding Earth's changing climate and its societal implications. As a monthly journal, it publishes significant and cutting-edge research on the nature, causes, and impacts of global climate change, as well as its implications for the economy, policy, and the world at large. The journal publishes original research spanning the natural and social sciences, synthesizing interdisciplinary research to provide a comprehensive understanding of climate change. It upholds the high standards set by all Nature-branded journals, ensuring top-tier original research through a fair and rigorous review process, broad readership access, high standards of copy editing and production, rapid publication, and independence from academic societies and other vested interests. Nature Climate Change serves as a platform for discussion among experts, publishing opinion, analysis, and review articles. It also features Research Highlights to highlight important developments in the field and original reporting from renowned science journalists in the form of feature articles. Topics covered in the journal include adaptation, atmospheric science, ecology, economics, energy, impacts and vulnerability, mitigation, oceanography, policy, sociology, and sustainability, among others.
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