Western Mongolian Plateau exhibits increasing Holocene temperature

Abstract

The scarcity of Holocene winter temperature records from the core area of the Mongolian-Siberian High (MSH) hampers our understanding of the long-term evolution of the MSH and its modulation of the East Asian Winter Monsoon (EAWM). Here we use the body size of Pediastrum, a new and sensitive temperature proxy, from the sediments of Tolbo Lake in the western Mongolian Plateau, to reconstruct changes in winter temperature in the core area of the MSH during the Holocene. A large-scale investigation of modern Pediastrum body size across East Asia indicates that it is an accurate proxy indicator for mean winter temperature. The Holocene winter temperature based on Pediastrum body size from Tolbo Lake shows a general warming trend with the maximum at ∼2.6 ka. The current warming has attained the magnitude of the previous Holocene maximum, despite the underlying forcing being different. The mid-late Holocene winter warming in inland Eurasia may have weakened the MSH and reduced the intensity of the EAWM.