Identification of influencing factors and risk assessment of underground space flooding in the mountain city

Abstract

As a consequence of the process of urbanization, there is an increasing reliance on and exploitation of underground spaces. Moreover, these areas are susceptible to urban waterlogging, which can be difficult to drain, potentially leading to significant risks. At present, there are few simulations in hydrodynamic models that consider underground spaces. The risk of inundation of underground spaces remains an uncertain phenomenon. This study conceptualized underground spaces as storage areas, with the aim of simulating the spatial distribution of flood risk for different return periods. We studied the flooding processes and characteristics of three underground space types. The results indicate that the flood evolution simulated by the simplified modeling method that incorporates underground space is more aligned with the actual situation. To further analyze the risk distribution of urban waterlogging, we choose the XGBoost model and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method to assess the influence of specific indicators on the occurrence of urban waterlogging in mountainous regions. Our analysis revealed that key factors include density of road (DR), flow velocity (V), density of pipes (DP), elevation (DEM), and inundation height (H), with contribution rates of 23.13 %, 17.06 %, 14.67 %, 10.12 %, and 9.04 %, respectively. This analysis clarified the risk of underground inundation within the study area, which can serve as a reference point for the formulation of flood control and drainage strategies.